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Clay, KY · ZIP 40962 · Census Tract 21051950600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$54K
Downside (P10)
$47K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$58K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$73K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $36K | $44K | $41K | $44K | $38K | $43K | $42K | $52K | $43K | $53K | $54K | $54K | $55K | $58K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$18,151 | -$10,551 | -$13,651 | -$10,451 | -$16,951 | -$11,451 | -$12,651 | -$2,951 | -$11,651 | -$1,351 | -$249 | +$1,044 | +$3,152 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.3% | -19.4% | -25.1% | -19.2% | -31.1% | -21.0% | -23.2% | -5.4% | -21.4% | -2.5% | -0.5% | +1.9% | +5.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $49K | $49K | $47K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $65K | $72K | $73K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$49K to $65K
28.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$47K to $73K
43.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashers Fork | $54K | $58K | +7.1% | |
| Manchester | $114K | $127K | +11.0% | |
| Sibert-Hima | $80K | $88K | +9.7% | |
| Big Creek | $51K | $56K | +9.6% | |
| Burning Springs | $123K | $133K | +7.7% | |
| Oneida | $53K | $55K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashers Fork | $54K | $58K | +7.1% | |
| Burning Springs (Tract 950202) | $140K | $159K | +13.9% | |
| Manchester | $114K | $127K | +11.0% | |
| Sibert-Hima | $80K | $88K | +9.7% | |
| Big Creek | $51K | $56K | +9.6% | |
| Burning Springs (Tract 950201) | $123K | $133K | +7.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashers Fork | $54K | $58K | $25K | |
| Manchester (Tract 950301) | $144K | $150K | $68K | |
| Manchester (Tract 950302) | $114K | $127K | $51K | |
| Sibert-Hima | $80K | $88K | $46K | |
| Oneida | $53K | $55K | $38K | |
| Big Creek | $51K | $56K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Clay, KY · ZIP 40962 · Census Tract 21051950600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$54K
Downside (P10)
$47K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$58K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$73K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $36K | $44K | $41K | $44K | $38K | $43K | $42K | $52K | $43K | $53K | $54K | $54K | $55K | $58K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$18,151 | -$10,551 | -$13,651 | -$10,451 | -$16,951 | -$11,451 | -$12,651 | -$2,951 | -$11,651 | -$1,351 | -$249 | +$1,044 | +$3,152 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.3% | -19.4% | -25.1% | -19.2% | -31.1% | -21.0% | -23.2% | -5.4% | -21.4% | -2.5% | -0.5% | +1.9% | +5.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $49K | $49K | $47K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $65K | $72K | $73K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$49K to $65K
28.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$47K to $73K
43.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashers Fork | $54K | $58K | +7.1% | |
| Manchester | $114K | $127K | +11.0% | |
| Sibert-Hima | $80K | $88K | +9.7% | |
| Big Creek | $51K | $56K | +9.6% | |
| Burning Springs | $123K | $133K | +7.7% | |
| Oneida | $53K | $55K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashers Fork | $54K | $58K | +7.1% | |
| Burning Springs (Tract 950202) | $140K | $159K | +13.9% | |
| Manchester | $114K | $127K | +11.0% | |
| Sibert-Hima | $80K | $88K | +9.7% | |
| Big Creek | $51K | $56K | +9.6% | |
| Burning Springs (Tract 950201) | $123K | $133K | +7.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashers Fork | $54K | $58K | $25K | |
| Manchester (Tract 950301) | $144K | $150K | $68K | |
| Manchester (Tract 950302) | $114K | $127K | $51K | |
| Sibert-Hima | $80K | $88K | $46K | |
| Oneida | $53K | $55K | $38K | |
| Big Creek | $51K | $56K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
