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Clay, KY · ZIP 40962 · Census Tract 21051950500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$82K
Downside (P10)
$64K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$88K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$110K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $46K | $37K | $49K | $61K | $50K | $64K | $71K | $62K | $74K | $78K | $82K | $84K | $85K | $88K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$36,271 | -$44,871 | -$33,471 | -$21,371 | -$31,871 | -$18,571 | -$10,771 | -$20,171 | -$8,571 | -$4,271 | +$1,815 | +$3,184 | +$6,132 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.2% | -54.7% | -40.8% | -26.0% | -38.8% | -22.6% | -13.1% | -24.6% | -10.4% | -5.2% | +2.2% | +3.9% | +7.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $66K | $64K | $64K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $99K | $107K | $110K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$66K to $99K
39.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$64K to $110K
52.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sibert-Hima | $80K | $88K | +9.7% | |
| Manchester | $114K | $127K | +11.0% | |
| Big Creek | $51K | $56K | +9.6% | |
| Burning Springs | $123K | $133K | +7.7% | |
| Ashers Fork | $54K | $58K | +7.1% | |
| Oneida | $53K | $55K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sibert-Hima | $80K | $88K | +9.7% | |
| Burning Springs (Tract 950202) | $140K | $159K | +13.9% | |
| Manchester | $114K | $127K | +11.0% | |
| Big Creek | $51K | $56K | +9.6% | |
| Burning Springs (Tract 950201) | $123K | $133K | +7.7% | |
| Ashers Fork | $54K | $58K | +7.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sibert-Hima | $80K | $88K | $46K | |
| Manchester (Tract 950301) | $144K | $150K | $68K | |
| Manchester (Tract 950302) | $114K | $127K | $51K | |
| Oneida | $53K | $55K | $38K | |
| Big Creek | $51K | $56K | $31K | |
| Ashers Fork | $54K | $58K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Clay, KY · ZIP 40962 · Census Tract 21051950500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$82K
Downside (P10)
$64K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$88K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$110K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $46K | $37K | $49K | $61K | $50K | $64K | $71K | $62K | $74K | $78K | $82K | $84K | $85K | $88K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$36,271 | -$44,871 | -$33,471 | -$21,371 | -$31,871 | -$18,571 | -$10,771 | -$20,171 | -$8,571 | -$4,271 | +$1,815 | +$3,184 | +$6,132 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.2% | -54.7% | -40.8% | -26.0% | -38.8% | -22.6% | -13.1% | -24.6% | -10.4% | -5.2% | +2.2% | +3.9% | +7.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $66K | $64K | $64K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $99K | $107K | $110K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$66K to $99K
39.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$64K to $110K
52.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sibert-Hima | $80K | $88K | +9.7% | |
| Manchester | $114K | $127K | +11.0% | |
| Big Creek | $51K | $56K | +9.6% | |
| Burning Springs | $123K | $133K | +7.7% | |
| Ashers Fork | $54K | $58K | +7.1% | |
| Oneida | $53K | $55K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sibert-Hima | $80K | $88K | +9.7% | |
| Burning Springs (Tract 950202) | $140K | $159K | +13.9% | |
| Manchester | $114K | $127K | +11.0% | |
| Big Creek | $51K | $56K | +9.6% | |
| Burning Springs (Tract 950201) | $123K | $133K | +7.7% | |
| Ashers Fork | $54K | $58K | +7.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sibert-Hima | $80K | $88K | $46K | |
| Manchester (Tract 950301) | $144K | $150K | $68K | |
| Manchester (Tract 950302) | $114K | $127K | $51K | |
| Oneida | $53K | $55K | $38K | |
| Big Creek | $51K | $56K | $31K | |
| Ashers Fork | $54K | $58K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
