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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Johnson, KS · ZIP 66221 · Census Tract 20091053419 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$655K
Downside (P10)
$585K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$708K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.03M
+57% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $405K | $433K | $439K | $460K | $464K | $478K | $487K | $582K | $584K | $645K | $655K | $669K | $686K | $708K |
| YoY Change | +6.7% | +1.5% | +4.8% | +0.7% | +3.2% | +1.8% | +19.5% | +0.4% | +10.4% | +1.6% | +2.1% | +2.6% | +3.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $585K | $579K | $585K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $871K | $941K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$585K to $871K
42.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$585K to $1.03M
63.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overland Park · 66221 · (Tract 534.19) | $658K | $708K | +7.6% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 053423) | $656K | $718K | +9.3% | |
| Olathe | $645K | $688K | +6.6% | |
| Leawood (Tract 051700) | $635K | $674K | +6.2% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 053203) | $675K | $687K | +1.7% | |
| Leawood (Tract 053301) | $637K | $625K | -1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overland Park · 66221 · (Tract 534.19) | $658K | $708K | +7.6% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 051803) | $295K | $359K | +21.5% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 053201) | $574K | $681K | +18.8% | |
| Lenexa | $470K | $557K | +18.3% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 053431) | $680K | $802K | +18.0% | |
| Olathe | $306K | $361K | +17.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overland Park · 66221 · (Tract 534.19) | $658K | $708K | $446K | |
| Gardner | $216K | $221K | $117K | |
| Olathe (Tract 052904) | $302K | $337K | $114K | |
| Olathe (Tract 052908) | $281K | $299K | $113K | |
| Shawnee | $169K | $183K | $96K | |
| Olathe (Tract 052905) | $160K | $174K | $85K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.