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Johnson, KS · ZIP 66061 · Census Tract 20091052904 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$308K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$337K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$392K
+27% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +27%. The model forecasts this with 81% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $177K | $183K | $189K | $195K | $221K | $232K | $268K | $287K | $297K | $308K | $315K | $322K | $337K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$135,786 | -$130,886 | -$124,886 | -$118,986 | -$113,686 | -$87,686 | -$76,786 | -$39,886 | -$20,986 | -$11,786 | +$6,676 | +$13,816 | +$28,782 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.0% | -42.5% | -40.5% | -38.6% | -36.9% | -28.4% | -24.9% | -12.9% | -6.8% | -3.8% | +2.2% | +4.5% | +9.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $278K | $283K | $278K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $346K | $365K | $392K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained, though uncertainty still widens modestly deeper into the horizon.
Near-term band
$278K to $346K
21.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$278K to $392K
33.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olathe | $302K | $337K | +11.6% | |
| Olathe (Tract 052907) | $306K | $361K | +17.9% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 053004) | $306K | $345K | +12.7% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 051909) | $304K | $334K | +9.7% | |
| Olathe (Tract 053604) | $303K | $315K | +4.1% | |
| Olathe (Tract 053507) | $311K | $307K | -1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olathe | $302K | $337K | +11.6% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 051803) | $295K | $359K | +21.5% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 053201) | $574K | $681K | +18.8% | |
| Lenexa | $470K | $557K | +18.3% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 053431) | $680K | $802K | +18.0% | |
| Olathe | $306K | $361K | +17.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olathe | $302K | $337K | $114K | |
| Overland Park | $280K | $308K | $121K | |
| Gardner | $216K | $221K | $117K | |
| Olathe (Tract 052908) | $281K | $299K | $113K | |
| Shawnee | $169K | $183K | $96K | |
| Olathe (Tract 052905) | $160K | $174K | $85K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Johnson, KS · ZIP 66061 · Census Tract 20091052904 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$308K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$337K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$392K
+27% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +27%. The model forecasts this with 81% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $177K | $183K | $189K | $195K | $221K | $232K | $268K | $287K | $297K | $308K | $315K | $322K | $337K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$135,786 | -$130,886 | -$124,886 | -$118,986 | -$113,686 | -$87,686 | -$76,786 | -$39,886 | -$20,986 | -$11,786 | +$6,676 | +$13,816 | +$28,782 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.0% | -42.5% | -40.5% | -38.6% | -36.9% | -28.4% | -24.9% | -12.9% | -6.8% | -3.8% | +2.2% | +4.5% | +9.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $278K | $283K | $278K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $346K | $365K | $392K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained, though uncertainty still widens modestly deeper into the horizon.
Near-term band
$278K to $346K
21.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$278K to $392K
33.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olathe | $302K | $337K | +11.6% | |
| Olathe (Tract 052907) | $306K | $361K | +17.9% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 053004) | $306K | $345K | +12.7% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 051909) | $304K | $334K | +9.7% | |
| Olathe (Tract 053604) | $303K | $315K | +4.1% | |
| Olathe (Tract 053507) | $311K | $307K | -1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olathe | $302K | $337K | +11.6% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 051803) | $295K | $359K | +21.5% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 053201) | $574K | $681K | +18.8% | |
| Lenexa | $470K | $557K | +18.3% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 053431) | $680K | $802K | +18.0% | |
| Olathe | $306K | $361K | +17.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olathe | $302K | $337K | $114K | |
| Overland Park | $280K | $308K | $121K | |
| Gardner | $216K | $221K | $117K | |
| Olathe (Tract 052908) | $281K | $299K | $113K | |
| Shawnee | $169K | $183K | $96K | |
| Olathe (Tract 052905) | $160K | $174K | $85K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
