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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Winnebago, IL · ZIP 61111 · Census Tract 17201003808 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$172K
Downside (P10)
$145K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$186K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$228K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $129K | $129K | $129K | $128K | $129K | $128K | $134K | $151K | $158K | $165K | $172K | $174K | $178K | $186K |
| YoY Change | -0.3% | +0.1% | -0.8% | +0.5% | -0.8% | +5.3% | +12.6% | +4.5% | +4.4% | +4.1% | +1.3% | +2.1% | +4.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $147K | $146K | $145K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $201K | $230K | $228K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$147K to $201K
30.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$145K to $228K
44.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harlem · Loves Park · (Tract 38.8) | $168K | $186K | +10.6% | |
| Cherry Valley | $174K | $196K | +12.7% | |
| Rockford (Tract 003711) | $170K | $188K | +10.5% | |
| Machesney Park | $166K | $182K | +9.8% | |
| Rockford (Tract 003500) | $165K | $174K | +5.7% | |
| South Beloit | $171K | $181K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harlem · Loves Park · (Tract 38.8) | $168K | $186K | +10.6% | |
| Rockford (Tract 001800) | $99K | $117K | +17.3% | |
| Cherry Valley | $182K | $213K | +17.1% | |
| Rockford (Tract 000403) | $194K | $225K | +16.2% | |
| Harlem | $218K | $249K | +14.5% | |
| Rockford (Tract 001400) | $83K | $94K | +14.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harlem · Loves Park · (Tract 38.8) | $168K | $186K | $83K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002800) | $68K | $78K | $36K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002000) | $53K | $55K | $35K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002100) | $59K | $63K | $35K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002500) | $53K | $59K | $33K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002600) | $60K | $68K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.