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Winnebago, IL · ZIP 61115 · Census Tract 17201000105 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$169K
Downside (P10)
$149K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$182K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$259K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $110K | $105K | $105K | $102K | $107K | $110K | $113K | $133K | $151K | $163K | $169K | $173K | $178K | $182K | $171K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$58,684 | -$63,684 | -$63,984 | -$67,084 | -$61,484 | -$58,684 | -$55,384 | -$35,384 | -$17,884 | -$5,784 | +$3,977 | +$8,940 | +$13,729 | +$2,014 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.8% | -37.8% | -37.9% | -39.8% | -36.4% | -34.8% | -32.8% | -21.0% | -10.6% | -3.4% | +2.4% | +5.3% | +8.1% | +1.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $155K | $153K | $149K | $152K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $216K | $235K | $259K | $187K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$155K to $216K
35.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$152K to $187K
20.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machesney Park | $166K | $182K | +9.8% | |
| Cherry Valley | $174K | $196K | +12.7% | |
| Harlem | $168K | $186K | +10.6% | |
| Rockford (Tract 003711) | $170K | $188K | +10.5% | |
| Rockford (Tract 003500) | $165K | $174K | +5.7% | |
| South Beloit | $171K | $181K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machesney Park | $166K | $182K | +9.8% | |
| Rockford (Tract 001800) | $99K | $117K | +17.3% | |
| Cherry Valley | $182K | $213K | +17.1% | |
| Rockford (Tract 000403) | $194K | $225K | +16.2% | |
| Harlem | $218K | $249K | +14.5% | |
| Rockford (Tract 001400) | $83K | $94K | +14.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machesney Park | $166K | $182K | $111K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002800) | $68K | $78K | $36K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002000) | $53K | $55K | $35K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002100) | $59K | $63K | $35K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002500) | $53K | $59K | $33K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002600) | $60K | $68K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Winnebago, IL · ZIP 61115 · Census Tract 17201000105 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$169K
Downside (P10)
$149K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$182K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$259K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $110K | $105K | $105K | $102K | $107K | $110K | $113K | $133K | $151K | $163K | $169K | $173K | $178K | $182K | $171K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$58,684 | -$63,684 | -$63,984 | -$67,084 | -$61,484 | -$58,684 | -$55,384 | -$35,384 | -$17,884 | -$5,784 | +$3,977 | +$8,940 | +$13,729 | +$2,014 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.8% | -37.8% | -37.9% | -39.8% | -36.4% | -34.8% | -32.8% | -21.0% | -10.6% | -3.4% | +2.4% | +5.3% | +8.1% | +1.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $155K | $153K | $149K | $152K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $216K | $235K | $259K | $187K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$155K to $216K
35.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$152K to $187K
20.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machesney Park | $166K | $182K | +9.8% | |
| Cherry Valley | $174K | $196K | +12.7% | |
| Harlem | $168K | $186K | +10.6% | |
| Rockford (Tract 003711) | $170K | $188K | +10.5% | |
| Rockford (Tract 003500) | $165K | $174K | +5.7% | |
| South Beloit | $171K | $181K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machesney Park | $166K | $182K | +9.8% | |
| Rockford (Tract 001800) | $99K | $117K | +17.3% | |
| Cherry Valley | $182K | $213K | +17.1% | |
| Rockford (Tract 000403) | $194K | $225K | +16.2% | |
| Harlem | $218K | $249K | +14.5% | |
| Rockford (Tract 001400) | $83K | $94K | +14.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machesney Park | $166K | $182K | $111K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002800) | $68K | $78K | $36K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002000) | $53K | $55K | $35K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002100) | $59K | $63K | $35K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002500) | $53K | $59K | $33K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002600) | $60K | $68K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
