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Elmore, ID · ZIP 83647 · Census Tract 16039960401 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$382K
Downside (P10)
$320K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$411K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$558K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $207K | $239K | $323K | $346K | $366K | $382K | $393K | $414K | $411K | $383K |
| YoY Change | +15.2% | +35.3% | +7.1% | +5.7% | +4.5% | +2.9% | +5.3% | -0.7% | -6.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $320K | $321K | $320K | $342K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $474K | $515K | $558K | $432K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$320K to $474K
39.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$342K to $432K
23.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Home | $376K | $411K | +9.2% | |
| Atlanta | $298K | $342K | +14.8% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960202) | $308K | $335K | +8.9% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960300) | $260K | $277K | +6.6% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960201) | $322K | $342K | +6.0% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960402) | $251K | $255K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Home | $376K | $411K | +9.2% | |
| Atlanta | $298K | $342K | +14.8% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960202) | $308K | $335K | +8.9% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960300) | $260K | $277K | +6.6% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960201) | $322K | $342K | +6.0% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960402) | $251K | $255K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Home | $376K | $411K | $238K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960201) | $322K | $342K | $222K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960202) | $308K | $335K | $186K | |
| Atlanta | $298K | $342K | $161K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960402) | $251K | $255K | $132K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960300) | $260K | $277K | $110K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.