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Elmore, ID · ZIP 83647 · Census Tract 16039960201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$325K
Downside (P10)
$259K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$342K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$482K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $175K | $174K | $235K | $271K | $315K | $325K | $333K | $334K | $342K | $326K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$150,441 | -$151,941 | -$90,441 | -$54,541 | -$10,041 | +$7,862 | +$8,483 | +$16,137 | +$459 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -46.2% | -46.7% | -27.8% | -16.8% | -3.1% | +2.4% | +2.6% | +5.0% | +0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $276K | $266K | $259K | $297K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $397K | $430K | $482K | $368K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$276K to $397K
36.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$297K to $368K
21.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Home | $322K | $342K | +6.0% | |
| Atlanta | $298K | $342K | +14.8% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960401) | $376K | $411K | +9.2% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960202) | $308K | $335K | +8.9% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960300) | $260K | $277K | +6.6% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960402) | $251K | $255K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Home | $322K | $342K | +6.0% | |
| Atlanta | $298K | $342K | +14.8% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960401) | $376K | $411K | +9.2% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960202) | $308K | $335K | +8.9% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960300) | $260K | $277K | +6.6% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960402) | $251K | $255K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Home | $322K | $342K | $222K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960401) | $376K | $411K | $238K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960202) | $308K | $335K | $186K | |
| Atlanta | $298K | $342K | $161K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960402) | $251K | $255K | $132K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960300) | $260K | $277K | $110K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Elmore, ID · ZIP 83647 · Census Tract 16039960201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$325K
Downside (P10)
$259K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$342K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$482K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $175K | $174K | $235K | $271K | $315K | $325K | $333K | $334K | $342K | $326K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$150,441 | -$151,941 | -$90,441 | -$54,541 | -$10,041 | +$7,862 | +$8,483 | +$16,137 | +$459 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -46.2% | -46.7% | -27.8% | -16.8% | -3.1% | +2.4% | +2.6% | +5.0% | +0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $276K | $266K | $259K | $297K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $397K | $430K | $482K | $368K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$276K to $397K
36.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$297K to $368K
21.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Home | $322K | $342K | +6.0% | |
| Atlanta | $298K | $342K | +14.8% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960401) | $376K | $411K | +9.2% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960202) | $308K | $335K | +8.9% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960300) | $260K | $277K | +6.6% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960402) | $251K | $255K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Home | $322K | $342K | +6.0% | |
| Atlanta | $298K | $342K | +14.8% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960401) | $376K | $411K | +9.2% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960202) | $308K | $335K | +8.9% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960300) | $260K | $277K | +6.6% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960402) | $251K | $255K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Home | $322K | $342K | $222K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960401) | $376K | $411K | $238K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960202) | $308K | $335K | $186K | |
| Atlanta | $298K | $342K | $161K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960402) | $251K | $255K | $132K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 960300) | $260K | $277K | $110K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
