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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Walton, FL · ZIP 32461 · Census Tract 12131950611 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.78M
Downside (P10)
$1.47M
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.96M
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.94M
+65% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $947K | $917K | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.6M | $1.8M | $1.9M | $2.0M | $2.0M |
| YoY Change | -3.2% | +45.7% | +4.1% | +17.9% | +8.5% | +4.9% | +4.3% | +0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.5M | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $2.5M | $2.7M | $2.9M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$1.47M to $2.52M
56.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.47M to $2.94M
74.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walton Beaches | $1.67M | $1.96M | +17.4% | |
| Walton Beaches (Tract 950608) | $835K | $964K | +15.3% | |
| Walton Beaches (Tract 950606) | $1.18M | $1.33M | +12.6% | |
| Walton Beaches (Tract 950610) | $858K | $913K | +6.4% | |
| Walton Beaches (Tract 950607) | $664K | $700K | +5.5% | |
| Walton Beaches (Tract 950604) | $666K | $701K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walton Beaches | $1.67M | $1.96M | +17.4% | |
| Walton Beaches (Tract 950608) | $835K | $964K | +15.3% | |
| DeFuniak Springs (Tract 950201) | $239K | $273K | +14.1% | |
| DeFuniak Springs (Tract 950305) | $257K | $293K | +13.8% | |
| Walton Beaches (Tract 950606) | $1.18M | $1.33M | +12.6% | |
| Paxton-Darlington | $141K | $158K | +12.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walton Beaches | $1.67M | $1.96M | $1.47M | |
| Paxton-Darlington (Tract 950103) | $175K | $196K | $97K | |
| Redbay | $148K | $164K | $96K | |
| DeFuniak Springs | $149K | $156K | $86K | |
| Paxton-Darlington (Tract 950104) | $141K | $158K | $84K | |
| Paxton-Darlington (Tract 950102) | $153K | $168K | $72K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.