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Walton, FL · ZIP 32433 · Census Tract 12131950102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$157K
Downside (P10)
$139K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$168K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$211K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $81K | $122K | $134K | $178K | $177K | $115K | $83K | $109K | $117K | $151K | $157K | $161K | $166K | $168K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$75,722 | -$34,422 | -$22,622 | +$21,479 | +$19,979 | -$42,222 | -$73,322 | -$48,122 | -$39,922 | -$5,722 | +$4,411 | +$8,782 | +$11,737 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -48.3% | -22.0% | -14.4% | +13.7% | +12.7% | -26.9% | -46.8% | -30.7% | -25.5% | -3.7% | +2.8% | +5.6% | +7.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $144K | $140K | $139K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $180K | $193K | $211K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$144K to $180K
22.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$139K to $211K
42.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paxton-Darlington | $153K | $168K | +10.0% | |
| Paxton-Darlington (Tract 950104) | $141K | $158K | +12.1% | |
| Paxton-Darlington (Tract 950103) | $175K | $196K | +11.9% | |
| Redbay | $148K | $164K | +10.7% | |
| DeFuniak Springs (Tract 950303) | $176K | $187K | +6.6% | |
| DeFuniak Springs (Tract 950202) | $149K | $156K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paxton-Darlington | $153K | $168K | +10.0% | |
| Walton Beaches (Tract 950611) | $1.67M | $1.96M | +17.4% | |
| Walton Beaches (Tract 950608) | $835K | $964K | +15.3% | |
| DeFuniak Springs (Tract 950201) | $239K | $273K | +14.1% | |
| DeFuniak Springs (Tract 950305) | $257K | $293K | +13.8% | |
| Walton Beaches (Tract 950606) | $1.18M | $1.33M | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paxton-Darlington | $153K | $168K | $72K | |
| DeFuniak Springs (Tract 950303) | $176K | $187K | $108K | |
| Paxton-Darlington (Tract 950103) | $175K | $196K | $97K | |
| Redbay | $148K | $164K | $96K | |
| DeFuniak Springs (Tract 950202) | $149K | $156K | $86K | |
| Paxton-Darlington (Tract 950104) | $141K | $158K | $84K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Walton, FL · ZIP 32433 · Census Tract 12131950102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$157K
Downside (P10)
$139K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$168K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$211K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $81K | $122K | $134K | $178K | $177K | $115K | $83K | $109K | $117K | $151K | $157K | $161K | $166K | $168K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$75,722 | -$34,422 | -$22,622 | +$21,479 | +$19,979 | -$42,222 | -$73,322 | -$48,122 | -$39,922 | -$5,722 | +$4,411 | +$8,782 | +$11,737 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -48.3% | -22.0% | -14.4% | +13.7% | +12.7% | -26.9% | -46.8% | -30.7% | -25.5% | -3.7% | +2.8% | +5.6% | +7.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $144K | $140K | $139K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $180K | $193K | $211K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$144K to $180K
22.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$139K to $211K
42.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paxton-Darlington | $153K | $168K | +10.0% | |
| Paxton-Darlington (Tract 950104) | $141K | $158K | +12.1% | |
| Paxton-Darlington (Tract 950103) | $175K | $196K | +11.9% | |
| Redbay | $148K | $164K | +10.7% | |
| DeFuniak Springs (Tract 950303) | $176K | $187K | +6.6% | |
| DeFuniak Springs (Tract 950202) | $149K | $156K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paxton-Darlington | $153K | $168K | +10.0% | |
| Walton Beaches (Tract 950611) | $1.67M | $1.96M | +17.4% | |
| Walton Beaches (Tract 950608) | $835K | $964K | +15.3% | |
| DeFuniak Springs (Tract 950201) | $239K | $273K | +14.1% | |
| DeFuniak Springs (Tract 950305) | $257K | $293K | +13.8% | |
| Walton Beaches (Tract 950606) | $1.18M | $1.33M | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paxton-Darlington | $153K | $168K | $72K | |
| DeFuniak Springs (Tract 950303) | $176K | $187K | $108K | |
| Paxton-Darlington (Tract 950103) | $175K | $196K | $97K | |
| Redbay | $148K | $164K | $96K | |
| DeFuniak Springs (Tract 950202) | $149K | $156K | $86K | |
| Paxton-Darlington (Tract 950104) | $141K | $158K | $84K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
