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Sumter, FL · ZIP 34785 · Census Tract 12119911301 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$382K
Downside (P10)
$321K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$427K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$589K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $53K | $55K | $61K | $55K | $62K | $65K | $60K | $78K | $102K | $369K | $382K | $400K | $415K | $427K |
| YoY Change | +4.2% | +10.5% | -9.5% | +13.1% | +4.8% | -7.8% | +29.1% | +30.8% | +263.7% | +3.4% | +4.9% | +3.7% | +2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $309K | $304K | $321K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $471K | $533K | $589K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$309K to $471K
40.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$321K to $589K
63.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildwood · 34785 · (Tract 9113.1) | $378K | $427K | +13.0% | |
| Wildwood (Tract 910100) | $392K | $423K | +8.1% | |
| The Villages | $354K | $377K | +6.7% | |
| Wildwood (Tract 911703) | $356K | $377K | +5.8% | |
| Wildwood (Tract 911704) | $379K | $397K | +4.6% | |
| Wildwood (Tract 911201) | $385K | $384K | -0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildwood · 34785 · (Tract 9113.1) | $378K | $427K | +13.0% | |
| Wildwood (Tract 911203) | $349K | $401K | +14.9% | |
| Bushnell-Center Hill (Tract 910702) | $294K | $334K | +13.6% | |
| Wildwood (Tract 911500) | $256K | $289K | +12.8% | |
| Wildwood (Tract 911204) | $427K | $478K | +11.9% | |
| Bushnell-Center Hill (Tract 910500) | $262K | $294K | +11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildwood · 34785 · (Tract 9113.1) | $378K | $427K | $269K | |
| Bushnell-Center Hill (Tract 910402) | $200K | $208K | $119K | |
| Wildwood | $256K | $289K | $116K | |
| Bushnell-Center Hill (Tract 910602) | $246K | $253K | $115K | |
| Lake Panasoffkee | $160K | $173K | $94K | |
| Bushnell-Center Hill (Tract 910601) | $141K | $144K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.