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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Sumter, FL · ZIP 32163 · Census Tract 12119910300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$486K
Downside (P10)
$380K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$521K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$684K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $81K | $87K | $101K | $113K | $216K | $246K | $337K | $392K | $453K | $473K | $486K | $506K | $505K | $521K | $491K |
| YoY Change | +6.9% | +16.3% | +12.2% | +90.8% | +13.8% | +37.0% | +16.1% | +15.8% | +4.3% | +2.9% | +4.0% | -0.2% | +3.1% | -5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $425K | $384K | $380K | $437K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $572K | $620K | $684K | $555K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$425K to $572K
29.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$437K to $555K
24.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildwood | $477K | $521K | +9.2% | |
| Wildwood | $427K | $478K | +11.9% | |
| The Villages (Tract 911401) | $488K | $519K | +6.4% | |
| The Villages (Tract 911205) | $473K | $494K | +4.5% | |
| The Villages (Tract 911202) | $440K | $456K | +3.8% | |
| The Villages (Tract 911206) | $426K | $440K | +3.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildwood | $477K | $521K | +9.2% | |
| Wildwood (Tract 911203) | $349K | $401K | +14.9% | |
| Bushnell-Center Hill | $294K | $334K | +13.6% | |
| Wildwood (Tract 911301) | $378K | $427K | +13.0% | |
| Wildwood (Tract 911500) | $256K | $289K | +12.8% | |
| Wildwood (Tract 911204) | $427K | $478K | +11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildwood | $477K | $521K | $304K | |
| Bushnell-Center Hill (Tract 910402) | $200K | $208K | $119K | |
| Wildwood | $256K | $289K | $116K | |
| Bushnell-Center Hill (Tract 910602) | $246K | $253K | $115K | |
| Lake Panasoffkee | $160K | $173K | $94K | |
| Bushnell-Center Hill (Tract 910601) | $141K | $144K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.