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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pasco, FL · ZIP 33525 · Census Tract 12101033101 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$76K
Downside (P10)
$59K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$80K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$100K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $50K | $50K | $43K | $42K | $47K | $56K | $53K | $72K | $74K | $75K | $76K | $76K | $78K | $80K |
| YoY Change | +0.8% | -13.6% | -2.1% | +11.1% | +20.3% | -5.7% | +35.5% | +2.8% | +1.6% | +1.4% | -0.2% | +1.7% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $61K | $60K | $59K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $90K | $98K | $100K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$61K to $90K
37.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$59K to $100K
51.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zephyrhills · Dade City · (Tract 331.1) | $76K | $80K | +5.3% | |
| New Port Richey (Tract 031406) | $85K | $94K | +10.6% | |
| Zephyrhills (Tract 033014) | $73K | $80K | +9.8% | |
| New Port Richey (Tract 031703) | $82K | $89K | +9.0% | |
| Dade City | $73K | $79K | +8.6% | |
| Zephyrhills (Tract 033011) | $84K | $90K | +7.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zephyrhills · Dade City · (Tract 331.1) | $76K | $80K | +5.3% | |
| Central Pasco | $442K | $545K | +23.2% | |
| Lacoochee | $265K | $312K | +17.9% | |
| Land O' Lakes | $389K | $455K | +17.1% | |
| New Port Richey | $448K | $521K | +16.4% | |
| Dade City | $230K | $266K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zephyrhills · Dade City · (Tract 331.1) | $76K | $80K | $41K | |
| Zephyrhills (Tract 033011) | $84K | $90K | $47K | |
| Zephyrhills (Tract 033014) | $73K | $80K | $45K | |
| Dade City | $73K | $79K | $42K | |
| Bayonet Point | $119K | $123K | $39K | |
| Port Richey | $65K | $73K | $36K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.