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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pasco, FL · ZIP 34655 · Census Tract 12101031508 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$534K
Downside (P10)
$436K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$564K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$853K
+60% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +60%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $257K | $256K | $255K | $266K | $276K | $275K | $321K | $408K | $447K | $533K | $534K | $544K | $567K | $564K |
| YoY Change | -0.4% | -0.2% | +4.0% | +4.0% | -0.6% | +16.9% | +27.1% | +9.6% | +19.2% | +0.1% | +1.8% | +4.3% | -0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $452K | $434K | $436K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $708K | $813K | $853K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$452K to $708K
47.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$436K to $853K
74.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Port Richey · 34655 · (Tract 315.8) | $535K | $564K | +5.4% | |
| New Port Richey (Tract 031602) | $537K | $615K | +14.6% | |
| New Port Richey (Tract 031504) | $478K | $539K | +12.6% | |
| Central Pasco | $492K | $552K | +12.1% | |
| New Port Richey (Tract 030303) | $458K | $489K | +6.9% | |
| New Port Richey (Tract 031701) | $584K | $599K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Port Richey · 34655 · (Tract 315.8) | $535K | $564K | +5.4% | |
| Land O' Lakes | $389K | $455K | +17.1% | |
| New Port Richey (Tract 031605) | $448K | $521K | +16.4% | |
| Port Richey | $194K | $224K | +15.5% | |
| New Port Richey (Tract 031602) | $537K | $615K | +14.6% | |
| Holiday | $104K | $119K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Port Richey · 34655 · (Tract 315.8) | $535K | $564K | $417K | |
| New Port Richey (Tract 031406) | $85K | $94K | $58K | |
| Port Richey (Tract 031807) | $107K | $116K | $57K | |
| New Port Richey (Tract 031703) | $82K | $89K | $57K | |
| Bayonet Point | $119K | $123K | $39K | |
| Port Richey (Tract 030203) | $65K | $73K | $36K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.