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Okaloosa, FL · ZIP 32541 · Census Tract 12091023307 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$373K
Downside (P10)
$305K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$378K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$544K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $169K | $196K | $204K | $223K | $242K | $234K | $254K | $320K | $342K | $354K | $373K | $377K | $377K | $378K | $369K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$203,677 | -$177,177 | -$168,677 | -$149,577 | -$130,777 | -$138,277 | -$119,077 | -$53,077 | -$30,477 | -$18,377 | +$4,512 | +$3,918 | +$5,441 | -$3,923 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -54.7% | -47.5% | -45.3% | -40.1% | -35.1% | -37.1% | -32.0% | -14.2% | -8.2% | -4.9% | +1.2% | +1.1% | +1.5% | -1.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $307K | $296K | $305K | $330K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $442K | $530K | $544K | $421K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$307K to $442K
35.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$330K to $421K
24.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Destin | $361K | $378K | +4.9% | |
| Niceville-Valparaiso (Tract 021200) | $377K | $419K | +10.9% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022300) | $375K | $415K | +10.9% | |
| Niceville-Valparaiso (Tract 021002) | $374K | $413K | +10.3% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022002) | $387K | $420K | +8.6% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022400) | $367K | $387K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Destin | $361K | $378K | +4.9% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020304) | $320K | $364K | +13.8% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021700) | $447K | $507K | +13.5% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020305) | $318K | $360K | +13.3% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022900) | $292K | $330K | +13.2% | |
| Wright | $307K | $344K | +11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Destin | $361K | $378K | $238K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020500) | $264K | $284K | $142K | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022800) | $274K | $290K | $136K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020701) | $261K | $280K | $128K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020306) | $252K | $279K | $126K | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021901) | $165K | $182K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Okaloosa, FL · ZIP 32541 · Census Tract 12091023307 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$373K
Downside (P10)
$305K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$378K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$544K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $169K | $196K | $204K | $223K | $242K | $234K | $254K | $320K | $342K | $354K | $373K | $377K | $377K | $378K | $369K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$203,677 | -$177,177 | -$168,677 | -$149,577 | -$130,777 | -$138,277 | -$119,077 | -$53,077 | -$30,477 | -$18,377 | +$4,512 | +$3,918 | +$5,441 | -$3,923 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -54.7% | -47.5% | -45.3% | -40.1% | -35.1% | -37.1% | -32.0% | -14.2% | -8.2% | -4.9% | +1.2% | +1.1% | +1.5% | -1.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $307K | $296K | $305K | $330K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $442K | $530K | $544K | $421K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$307K to $442K
35.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$330K to $421K
24.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Destin | $361K | $378K | +4.9% | |
| Niceville-Valparaiso (Tract 021200) | $377K | $419K | +10.9% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022300) | $375K | $415K | +10.9% | |
| Niceville-Valparaiso (Tract 021002) | $374K | $413K | +10.3% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022002) | $387K | $420K | +8.6% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022400) | $367K | $387K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Destin | $361K | $378K | +4.9% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020304) | $320K | $364K | +13.8% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021700) | $447K | $507K | +13.5% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020305) | $318K | $360K | +13.3% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022900) | $292K | $330K | +13.2% | |
| Wright | $307K | $344K | +11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Destin | $361K | $378K | $238K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020500) | $264K | $284K | $142K | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022800) | $274K | $290K | $136K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020701) | $261K | $280K | $128K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020306) | $252K | $279K | $126K | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021901) | $165K | $182K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
