What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12083002609 in On Top of the World?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $199,733 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12083002609 in On Top of the World?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $199,733 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.3%.

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Parcel 12083002609 (On Top of the World) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 12083002609, On Top of the World Home Price Forecast

Marion, FL · ZIP 34481 · Census Tract 12083002609 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$200K

Downside (P10)

$165K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$210K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$281K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$110K	$123K	$168K	$187K	$203K	$200K	$205K	$209K	$210K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$89,633	-$77,133	-$32,133	-$12,433	+$3,067		+$4,943	+$9,580	+$10,498
Growth % vs 2026	-44.9%	-38.6%	-16.1%	-6.2%	+1.5%		+2.5%	+4.8%	+5.3%
Downside (P10)							$182K	$172K	$165K
Upside (P90)							$246K	$258K	$281K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$182K to $246K

31.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$165K to $281K

55.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.3% · Spread: 55%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 12083002609, On Top of the World on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).