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Lake, FL · ZIP 32159 · Census Tract 12069030408 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$333K
Downside (P10)
$268K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$337K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$491K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $188K | $189K | $200K | $222K | $237K | $239K | $264K | $282K | $334K | $325K | $333K | $332K | $339K | $337K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$144,827 | -$143,727 | -$132,827 | -$110,927 | -$96,127 | -$93,427 | -$68,927 | -$50,527 | +$1,274 | -$7,527 | -$424 | +$6,244 | +$4,587 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.5% | -43.2% | -39.9% | -33.3% | -28.9% | -28.1% | -20.7% | -15.2% | +0.4% | -2.3% | -0.1% | +1.9% | +1.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $283K | $274K | $268K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $429K | $449K | $491K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$283K to $429K
44.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$268K to $491K
66.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lady Lake | $330K | $337K | +2.2% | |
| Mount Dora | $332K | $386K | +16.1% | |
| Groveland-Mascotte (Tract 031203) | $328K | $352K | +7.3% | |
| Leesburg East | $324K | $345K | +6.7% | |
| Howey-in-the-Hills-Okahumpka | $336K | $347K | +3.4% | |
| Groveland-Mascotte (Tract 031206) | $322K | $329K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lady Lake | $330K | $337K | +2.2% | |
| Clermont (Tract 031312) | $380K | $454K | +19.6% | |
| Tavares | $238K | $281K | +17.8% | |
| Clermont (Tract 031316) | $467K | $542K | +16.3% | |
| Mount Dora | $332K | $386K | +16.1% | |
| Fruitland Park-Lady Lake | $258K | $299K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lady Lake | $330K | $337K | $223K | |
| Howey-in-the-Hills-Okahumpka | $109K | $118K | $79K | |
| Leesburg East | $156K | $164K | $77K | |
| Leesburg | $115K | $122K | $71K | |
| Umatilla | $125K | $139K | $69K | |
| Fruitland Park-Lady Lake | $114K | $123K | $51K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lake, FL · ZIP 32159 · Census Tract 12069030408 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$333K
Downside (P10)
$268K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$337K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$491K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $188K | $189K | $200K | $222K | $237K | $239K | $264K | $282K | $334K | $325K | $333K | $332K | $339K | $337K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$144,827 | -$143,727 | -$132,827 | -$110,927 | -$96,127 | -$93,427 | -$68,927 | -$50,527 | +$1,274 | -$7,527 | -$424 | +$6,244 | +$4,587 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.5% | -43.2% | -39.9% | -33.3% | -28.9% | -28.1% | -20.7% | -15.2% | +0.4% | -2.3% | -0.1% | +1.9% | +1.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $283K | $274K | $268K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $429K | $449K | $491K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$283K to $429K
44.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$268K to $491K
66.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lady Lake | $330K | $337K | +2.2% | |
| Mount Dora | $332K | $386K | +16.1% | |
| Groveland-Mascotte (Tract 031203) | $328K | $352K | +7.3% | |
| Leesburg East | $324K | $345K | +6.7% | |
| Howey-in-the-Hills-Okahumpka | $336K | $347K | +3.4% | |
| Groveland-Mascotte (Tract 031206) | $322K | $329K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lady Lake | $330K | $337K | +2.2% | |
| Clermont (Tract 031312) | $380K | $454K | +19.6% | |
| Tavares | $238K | $281K | +17.8% | |
| Clermont (Tract 031316) | $467K | $542K | +16.3% | |
| Mount Dora | $332K | $386K | +16.1% | |
| Fruitland Park-Lady Lake | $258K | $299K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lady Lake | $330K | $337K | $223K | |
| Howey-in-the-Hills-Okahumpka | $109K | $118K | $79K | |
| Leesburg East | $156K | $164K | $77K | |
| Leesburg | $115K | $122K | $71K | |
| Umatilla | $125K | $139K | $69K | |
| Fruitland Park-Lady Lake | $114K | $123K | $51K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
