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Lake, FL · ZIP 32778 · Census Tract 12069030804 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$248K
Downside (P10)
$219K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$281K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$347K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $98K | $96K | $103K | $101K | $109K | $118K | $139K | $172K | $229K | $236K | $248K | $257K | $271K | $281K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$149,844 | -$151,744 | -$144,944 | -$146,844 | -$138,744 | -$130,444 | -$108,744 | -$76,044 | -$18,944 | -$12,644 | +$8,594 | +$23,270 | +$32,360 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.4% | -61.2% | -58.4% | -59.2% | -55.9% | -52.6% | -43.8% | -30.6% | -7.6% | -5.1% | +3.5% | +9.4% | +13.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $216K | $218K | $219K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $324K | $357K | $347K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$216K to $324K
42.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$219K to $347K
45.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares | $238K | $281K | +17.8% | |
| Fruitland Park-Lady Lake | $258K | $299K | +15.7% | |
| Eustis (Tract 030209) | $258K | $277K | +7.4% | |
| Tavares | $251K | $261K | +4.1% | |
| Eustis (Tract 030206) | $241K | $248K | +2.9% | |
| Eustis (Tract 030208) | $262K | $267K | +1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares | $238K | $281K | +17.8% | |
| Clermont (Tract 031312) | $380K | $454K | +19.6% | |
| Clermont (Tract 031316) | $467K | $542K | +16.3% | |
| Mount Dora | $332K | $386K | +16.1% | |
| Fruitland Park-Lady Lake | $258K | $299K | +15.7% | |
| Howey-in-the-Hills-Okahumpka | $292K | $336K | +14.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares | $238K | $281K | $128K | |
| Howey-in-the-Hills-Okahumpka | $109K | $118K | $79K | |
| Leesburg East | $156K | $164K | $77K | |
| Leesburg | $115K | $122K | $71K | |
| Umatilla | $125K | $139K | $69K | |
| Fruitland Park-Lady Lake | $114K | $123K | $51K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lake, FL · ZIP 32778 · Census Tract 12069030804 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$248K
Downside (P10)
$219K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$281K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$347K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $98K | $96K | $103K | $101K | $109K | $118K | $139K | $172K | $229K | $236K | $248K | $257K | $271K | $281K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$149,844 | -$151,744 | -$144,944 | -$146,844 | -$138,744 | -$130,444 | -$108,744 | -$76,044 | -$18,944 | -$12,644 | +$8,594 | +$23,270 | +$32,360 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.4% | -61.2% | -58.4% | -59.2% | -55.9% | -52.6% | -43.8% | -30.6% | -7.6% | -5.1% | +3.5% | +9.4% | +13.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $216K | $218K | $219K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $324K | $357K | $347K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$216K to $324K
42.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$219K to $347K
45.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares | $238K | $281K | +17.8% | |
| Fruitland Park-Lady Lake | $258K | $299K | +15.7% | |
| Eustis (Tract 030209) | $258K | $277K | +7.4% | |
| Tavares | $251K | $261K | +4.1% | |
| Eustis (Tract 030206) | $241K | $248K | +2.9% | |
| Eustis (Tract 030208) | $262K | $267K | +1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares | $238K | $281K | +17.8% | |
| Clermont (Tract 031312) | $380K | $454K | +19.6% | |
| Clermont (Tract 031316) | $467K | $542K | +16.3% | |
| Mount Dora | $332K | $386K | +16.1% | |
| Fruitland Park-Lady Lake | $258K | $299K | +15.7% | |
| Howey-in-the-Hills-Okahumpka | $292K | $336K | +14.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares | $238K | $281K | $128K | |
| Howey-in-the-Hills-Okahumpka | $109K | $118K | $79K | |
| Leesburg East | $156K | $164K | $77K | |
| Leesburg | $115K | $122K | $71K | |
| Umatilla | $125K | $139K | $69K | |
| Fruitland Park-Lady Lake | $114K | $123K | $51K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
