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Capitol, CT · Census Tract 09110480600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$202K
Downside (P10)
$176K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$214K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$292K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $174K | $215K | $195K | $202K | $209K | $219K | $214K | $207K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$28,023 | +$12,378 | -$7,123 | +$7,107 | +$16,579 | +$11,595 | +$4,846 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -13.9% | +6.1% | -3.5% | +3.5% | +8.2% | +5.7% | +2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $176K | $180K | $176K | $180K | |||||
| Upside (P90) | $251K | $256K | $292K | $232K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$176K to $251K
35.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$180K to $232K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompsonville · (Tract 4806) | $198K | $214K | +8.1% | |
| Hartford (Tract 501500) | $198K | $223K | +12.5% | |
| Hartford (Tract 500100) | $205K | $225K | +9.5% | |
| New Britain (Tract 416700) | $206K | $224K | +9.1% | |
| East Windsor | $202K | $216K | +6.8% | |
| New Britain (Tract 416600) | $196K | $208K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompsonville · (Tract 4806) | $198K | $214K | +8.1% | |
| West Hartford (Tract 496500) | $570K | $683K | +19.7% | |
| Windsor Locks | $259K | $308K | +19.1% | |
| West Hartford (Tract 496600) | $462K | $550K | +19.0% | |
| Hartford | $245K | $290K | +18.4% | |
| Berlin | $383K | $450K | +17.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompsonville · (Tract 4806) | $198K | $214K | $116K | |
| Hartford (Tract 501200) | $194K | $194K | $99K | |
| Hartford (Tract 500900) | $176K | $192K | $96K | |
| Hartford (Tract 500200) | $138K | $148K | $93K | |
| Hartford (Tract 500300) | $96K | $102K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Capitol, CT · Census Tract 09110480600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$202K
Downside (P10)
$176K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$214K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$292K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $174K | $215K | $195K | $202K | $209K | $219K | $214K | $207K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$28,023 | +$12,378 | -$7,123 | +$7,107 | +$16,579 | +$11,595 | +$4,846 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -13.9% | +6.1% | -3.5% | +3.5% | +8.2% | +5.7% | +2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $176K | $180K | $176K | $180K | |||||
| Upside (P90) | $251K | $256K | $292K | $232K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$176K to $251K
35.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$180K to $232K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompsonville · (Tract 4806) | $198K | $214K | +8.1% | |
| Hartford (Tract 501500) | $198K | $223K | +12.5% | |
| Hartford (Tract 500100) | $205K | $225K | +9.5% | |
| New Britain (Tract 416700) | $206K | $224K | +9.1% | |
| East Windsor | $202K | $216K | +6.8% | |
| New Britain (Tract 416600) | $196K | $208K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompsonville · (Tract 4806) | $198K | $214K | +8.1% | |
| West Hartford (Tract 496500) | $570K | $683K | +19.7% | |
| Windsor Locks | $259K | $308K | +19.1% | |
| West Hartford (Tract 496600) | $462K | $550K | +19.0% | |
| Hartford | $245K | $290K | +18.4% | |
| Berlin | $383K | $450K | +17.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompsonville · (Tract 4806) | $198K | $214K | $116K | |
| Hartford (Tract 501200) | $194K | $194K | $99K | |
| Hartford (Tract 500900) | $176K | $192K | $96K | |
| Hartford (Tract 500200) | $138K | $148K | $93K | |
| Hartford (Tract 500300) | $96K | $102K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
