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Capitol, CT · Census Tract 09110462101 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$440K
Downside (P10)
$341K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$476K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$644K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $362K | $389K | $429K | $440K | $453K | $455K | $476K |
| YoY Change | +7.6% | +10.3% | +2.6% | +2.9% | +0.5% | +4.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $383K | $360K | $341K | ||||
| Upside (P90) | $525K | $592K | $644K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$383K to $525K
31.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$341K to $644K
63.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avon · (Tract 4621.1) | $435K | $476K | +9.3% | |
| West Hartford | $437K | $505K | +15.5% | |
| Avon | $445K | $484K | +8.7% | |
| Glastonbury | $435K | $462K | +6.3% | |
| Simsbury | $445K | $458K | +3.0% | |
| Southington | $445K | $448K | +0.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avon · (Tract 4621.1) | $435K | $476K | +9.3% | |
| West Hartford (Tract 496500) | $570K | $683K | +19.7% | |
| Windsor Locks | $259K | $308K | +19.1% | |
| West Hartford (Tract 496600) | $462K | $550K | +19.0% | |
| Mansfield | $323K | $382K | +18.5% | |
| East Hartford | $266K | $315K | +18.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avon · (Tract 4621.1) | $435K | $476K | $303K | |
| East Hartford (Tract 510800) | $181K | $197K | $92K | |
| Manchester | $201K | $222K | $90K | |
| East Hartford (Tract 510700) | $213K | $226K | $82K | |
| Hartford | $96K | $102K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.