Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Jefferson, CO · ZIP 80465 · Census Tract 08059012033 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$834K
Downside (P10)
$655K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$854K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+44% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $383K | $394K | $422K | $444K | $478K | $546K | $603K | $695K | $757K | $802K | $834K | $865K | $871K | $854K |
| YoY Change | +3.0% | +7.1% | +5.3% | +7.7% | +14.2% | +10.5% | +15.2% | +8.9% | +6.0% | +4.0% | +3.7% | +0.6% | -2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $673K | $680K | $655K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$673K to $1.02M
40.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$655K to $1.20M
64.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Jefferson · Morrison · (Tract 120.33) | $814K | $854K | +4.8% | |
| Northeast Jefferson (Tract 010504) | $807K | $892K | +10.6% | |
| Northeast Jefferson (Tract 011721) | $820K | $900K | +9.8% | |
| Central Jefferson (Tract 012030) | $812K | $888K | +9.4% | |
| Northeast Jefferson (Tract 060501) | $838K | $906K | +8.1% | |
| Central Jefferson (Tract 012031) | $836K | $898K | +7.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Jefferson · Morrison · (Tract 120.33) | $814K | $854K | +4.8% | |
| Northeast Jefferson | $601K | $712K | +18.3% | |
| Bear Valley | $652K | $763K | +17.0% | |
| Dakota Ridge | $692K | $806K | +16.5% | |
| Columbine | $634K | $736K | +16.2% | |
| Lakewood | $569K | $657K | +15.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Jefferson · Morrison · (Tract 120.33) | $814K | $854K | $547K | |
| Edgewater | $338K | $388K | $234K | |
| Lakewood (Tract 011732) | $353K | $405K | $217K | |
| Arvada | $554K | $604K | $211K | |
| Lakewood (Tract 011904) | $360K | $367K | $135K | |
| Golden | $113K | $124K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.