Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Jefferson, CO · ZIP 80439 · Census Tract 08059012030 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$817K
Downside (P10)
$687K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$888K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.26M
+54% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $369K | $396K | $405K | $428K | $464K | $549K | $583K | $678K | $749K | $798K | $817K | $849K | $880K | $888K |
| YoY Change | +7.4% | +2.3% | +5.8% | +8.4% | +18.3% | +6.1% | +16.4% | +10.5% | +6.4% | +2.5% | +3.8% | +3.7% | +1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $755K | $717K | $687K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $998K | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$755K to $998K
28.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$687K to $1.26M
64.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Jefferson | $812K | $888K | +9.4% | |
| Northeast Jefferson (Tract 010504) | $807K | $892K | +10.6% | |
| Northeast Jefferson (Tract 011721) | $820K | $900K | +9.8% | |
| Central Jefferson | $836K | $898K | +7.4% | |
| Ken Caryl | $797K | $839K | +5.2% | |
| South Jefferson | $814K | $854K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Jefferson | $812K | $888K | +9.4% | |
| Northeast Jefferson | $601K | $712K | +18.3% | |
| Bear Valley | $652K | $763K | +17.0% | |
| Dakota Ridge | $692K | $806K | +16.5% | |
| Columbine | $634K | $736K | +16.2% | |
| Lakewood | $569K | $657K | +15.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Jefferson | $812K | $888K | $569K | |
| Edgewater | $338K | $388K | $234K | |
| Lakewood (Tract 011732) | $353K | $405K | $217K | |
| Arvada | $554K | $604K | $211K | |
| Lakewood (Tract 011904) | $360K | $367K | $135K | |
| Golden | $113K | $124K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.