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Fremont, CO · ZIP 81240 · Census Tract 08043978100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$348K
Downside (P10)
$273K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$366K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$503K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $179K | $174K | $182K | $183K | $207K | $226K | $236K | $287K | $283K | $341K | $348K | $347K | $356K | $366K |
| YoY Change | -2.8% | +4.5% | +0.6% | +13.0% | +9.1% | +4.8% | +21.3% | -1.2% | +20.6% | +1.8% | -0.0% | +2.5% | +2.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $289K | $288K | $273K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $415K | $475K | $503K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$289K to $415K
36.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$273K to $503K
62.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrose-Portland | $344K | $366K | +6.3% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978800) | $348K | $353K | +1.4% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978300) | $343K | $357K | +4.2% | |
| Cotopaxi | $340K | $373K | +9.7% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978400) | $332K | $366K | +10.0% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978500) | $327K | $341K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrose-Portland | $344K | $366K | +6.3% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978400) | $332K | $366K | +10.0% | |
| Cotopaxi (Tract 979001) | $477K | $524K | +9.9% | |
| Cotopaxi (Tract 979002) | $340K | $373K | +9.7% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978600) | $241K | $261K | +8.3% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 979200) | $536K | $578K | +7.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrose-Portland | $344K | $366K | $230K | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978600) | $241K | $261K | $136K | |
| Florence area | $242K | $252K | $149K | |
| Cañon City (Tract 979100) | $276K | $296K | $151K | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978400) | $332K | $366K | $152K | |
| Florence | $261K | $272K | $162K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.