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Fremont, CO · ZIP 81223 · Census Tract 08043979002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$345K
Downside (P10)
$305K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$373K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$487K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $181K | $192K | $235K | $281K | $331K | $345K | $351K | $374K | $373K |
| YoY Change | +5.9% | +22.8% | +19.4% | +17.8% | +4.3% | +1.8% | +6.3% | -0.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $282K | $303K | $305K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $408K | $453K | $487K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$282K to $408K
35.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$305K to $487K
48.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cotopaxi | $340K | $373K | +9.7% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978400) | $332K | $366K | +10.0% | |
| Penrose-Portland | $344K | $366K | +6.3% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978500) | $327K | $341K | +4.5% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978300) | $343K | $357K | +4.2% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978800) | $348K | $353K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cotopaxi | $340K | $373K | +9.7% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978400) | $332K | $366K | +10.0% | |
| Cotopaxi | $477K | $524K | +9.9% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978600) | $241K | $261K | +8.3% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 979200) | $536K | $578K | +7.7% | |
| Cañon City (Tract 979100) | $276K | $296K | +7.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cotopaxi | $340K | $373K | $181K | |
| Florence | $261K | $272K | $162K | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978400) | $332K | $366K | $152K | |
| Cañon City (Tract 979100) | $276K | $296K | $151K | |
| Florence area | $242K | $252K | $149K | |
| Cañon City (Tract 978600) | $241K | $261K | $136K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.