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Yolo, CA · ZIP 95607 · Census Tract 06113011500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$488K
Downside (P10)
$414K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$519K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$653K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $221K | $224K | $243K | $274K | $344K | $361K | $373K | $452K | $493K | $476K | $488K | $496K | $504K | $519K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$267,176 | -$264,676 | -$245,576 | -$214,276 | -$144,376 | -$127,176 | -$115,676 | -$36,676 | +$4,924 | -$12,676 | +$7,638 | +$15,513 | +$30,437 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -54.7% | -54.2% | -50.3% | -43.9% | -29.6% | -26.0% | -23.7% | -7.5% | +1.0% | -2.6% | +1.6% | +3.2% | +6.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $422K | $431K | $414K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $565K | $606K | $653K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$422K to $565K
28.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$414K to $653K
46.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esparto | $483K | $519K | +7.4% | |
| Woodland (Tract 011210) | $494K | $578K | +17.2% | |
| West Sacramento | $485K | $554K | +14.2% | |
| Woodland (Tract 011103) | $477K | $518K | +8.6% | |
| Woodland (Tract 011209) | $501K | $540K | +7.8% | |
| Woodland (Tract 010800) | $513K | $546K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esparto | $483K | $519K | +7.4% | |
| Woodland (Tract 011207) | $831K | $1.01M | +21.0% | |
| Davis (Tract 010513) | $797K | $945K | +18.6% | |
| Davis (Tract 010512) | $984K | $1.16M | +18.0% | |
| Woodland (Tract 011210) | $494K | $578K | +17.2% | |
| Davis (Tract 010610) | $700K | $811K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esparto | $483K | $519K | $239K | |
| Woodland (Tract 010901) | $398K | $446K | $244K | |
| Woodland (Tract 011204) | $573K | $609K | $236K | |
| East Yolo area | $404K | $410K | $221K | |
| West Sacramento (Tract 010104) | $418K | $449K | $178K | |
| West Sacramento (Tract 010203) | $85K | $88K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Yolo, CA · ZIP 95607 · Census Tract 06113011500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$488K
Downside (P10)
$414K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$519K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$653K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $221K | $224K | $243K | $274K | $344K | $361K | $373K | $452K | $493K | $476K | $488K | $496K | $504K | $519K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$267,176 | -$264,676 | -$245,576 | -$214,276 | -$144,376 | -$127,176 | -$115,676 | -$36,676 | +$4,924 | -$12,676 | +$7,638 | +$15,513 | +$30,437 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -54.7% | -54.2% | -50.3% | -43.9% | -29.6% | -26.0% | -23.7% | -7.5% | +1.0% | -2.6% | +1.6% | +3.2% | +6.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $422K | $431K | $414K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $565K | $606K | $653K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$422K to $565K
28.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$414K to $653K
46.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esparto | $483K | $519K | +7.4% | |
| Woodland (Tract 011210) | $494K | $578K | +17.2% | |
| West Sacramento | $485K | $554K | +14.2% | |
| Woodland (Tract 011103) | $477K | $518K | +8.6% | |
| Woodland (Tract 011209) | $501K | $540K | +7.8% | |
| Woodland (Tract 010800) | $513K | $546K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esparto | $483K | $519K | +7.4% | |
| Woodland (Tract 011207) | $831K | $1.01M | +21.0% | |
| Davis (Tract 010513) | $797K | $945K | +18.6% | |
| Davis (Tract 010512) | $984K | $1.16M | +18.0% | |
| Woodland (Tract 011210) | $494K | $578K | +17.2% | |
| Davis (Tract 010610) | $700K | $811K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esparto | $483K | $519K | $239K | |
| Woodland (Tract 010901) | $398K | $446K | $244K | |
| Woodland (Tract 011204) | $573K | $609K | $236K | |
| East Yolo area | $404K | $410K | $221K | |
| West Sacramento (Tract 010104) | $418K | $449K | $178K | |
| West Sacramento (Tract 010203) | $85K | $88K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
