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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Yolo, CA · ZIP 95616 · Census Tract 06113010704 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$978K
Downside (P10)
$817K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.08M
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.45M
+48% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $651K | $665K | $685K | $681K | $687K | $748K | $814K | $889K | $927K | $936K | $978K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +2.2% | +3.0% | -0.6% | +0.8% | +9.0% | +8.7% | +9.3% | +4.2% | +1.0% | +4.5% | +3.6% | +3.3% | +2.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $840K | $835K | $817K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$840K to $1.22M
37.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$817K to $1.45M
58.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis · 95616 · (Tract 107.4) | $957K | $1.08M | +12.4% | |
| Davis (Tract 010512) | $984K | $1.16M | +18.0% | |
| Davis (Tract 010605) | $951K | $1.01M | +6.1% | |
| Davis (Tract 010505) | $949K | $1.01M | +6.1% | |
| Davis (Tract 010701) | $922K | $934K | +1.4% | |
| Davis (Tract 010703) | $922K | $934K | +1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis · 95616 · (Tract 107.4) | $957K | $1.08M | +12.4% | |
| Woodland (Tract 011207) | $831K | $1.01M | +21.0% | |
| Davis (Tract 010513) | $797K | $945K | +18.6% | |
| Davis (Tract 010512) | $984K | $1.16M | +18.0% | |
| Woodland (Tract 011210) | $494K | $578K | +17.2% | |
| Davis (Tract 010610) | $700K | $811K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis · 95616 · (Tract 107.4) | $957K | $1.08M | $630K | |
| Esparto | $483K | $519K | $239K | |
| Woodland | $573K | $609K | $236K | |
| East Yolo area | $404K | $410K | $221K | |
| West Sacramento (Tract 010104) | $418K | $449K | $178K | |
| West Sacramento (Tract 010203) | $85K | $88K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.