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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Yolo, CA · ZIP 95616 · Census Tract 06113010508 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$885K
Downside (P10)
$755K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$913K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.12M
+27% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +27%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $555K | $569K | $615K | $628K | $668K | $648K | $704K | $762K | $801K | $876K | $885K | $880K | $911K | $913K |
| YoY Change | +2.5% | +8.0% | +2.1% | +6.3% | -2.9% | +8.5% | +8.3% | +5.2% | +9.3% | +1.0% | -0.5% | +3.5% | +0.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $777K | $748K | $755K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$777K to $1.04M
30.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$755K to $1.12M
40.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis · 95616 · (Tract 105.8) | $887K | $913K | +2.9% | |
| Woodland | $831K | $1.01M | +21.0% | |
| Davis (Tract 010509) | $842K | $907K | +7.8% | |
| Davis (Tract 010511) | $828K | $841K | +1.6% | |
| Davis (Tract 010701) | $922K | $934K | +1.4% | |
| Davis (Tract 010703) | $922K | $934K | +1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis · 95616 · (Tract 105.8) | $887K | $913K | +2.9% | |
| Woodland (Tract 011207) | $831K | $1.01M | +21.0% | |
| Davis (Tract 010513) | $797K | $945K | +18.6% | |
| Davis (Tract 010512) | $984K | $1.16M | +18.0% | |
| Woodland (Tract 011210) | $494K | $578K | +17.2% | |
| Davis (Tract 010610) | $700K | $811K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis · 95616 · (Tract 105.8) | $887K | $913K | $365K | |
| Esparto | $483K | $519K | $239K | |
| Woodland | $573K | $609K | $236K | |
| East Yolo area | $404K | $410K | $221K | |
| West Sacramento (Tract 010104) | $418K | $449K | $178K | |
| West Sacramento (Tract 010203) | $85K | $88K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.