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Ventura, CA · ZIP 91361 · Census Tract 06111005906 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.52M
Downside (P10)
$1.25M
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.62M
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.17M
+42% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $768K | $785K | $816K | $862K | $907K | $960K | $1.1M | $1.3M | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.5M |
| YoY Change | +2.2% | +3.9% | +5.7% | +5.2% | +5.8% | +12.4% | +22.6% | +10.0% | +3.1% | +1.6% | +1.9% | +3.3% | +1.0% | -4.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.8M | $2.0M | $2.2M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$1.24M to $1.84M
38.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.36M to $1.78M
27.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thousand Oaks · Westlake Village · (Tract 59.6) | $1.49M | $1.62M | +8.6% | |
| Ojai-Mira Monte | $1.41M | $1.60M | +14.0% | |
| Las Posas | $1.61M | $1.81M | +12.7% | |
| Oak Park | $1.63M | $1.83M | +12.6% | |
| Thousand Oaks | $1.51M | $1.67M | +10.6% | |
| San Buenaventura (Ventura) | $1.67M | $1.72M | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thousand Oaks · Westlake Village · (Tract 59.6) | $1.49M | $1.62M | +8.6% | |
| Triunfo Pass-Point Mugu | $1.98M | $2.40M | +21.6% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 003011) | $695K | $844K | +21.4% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004503) | $493K | $596K | +20.8% | |
| Thousand Oaks | $1.04M | $1.24M | +19.2% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004505) | $588K | $697K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thousand Oaks · Westlake Village · (Tract 59.6) | $1.49M | $1.62M | $921K | |
| Thousand Oaks | $425K | $465K | $250K | |
| Camarillo | $466K | $504K | $235K | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004710) | $343K | $396K | $209K | |
| Santa Paula | $245K | $253K | $157K | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004704) | $155K | $168K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.