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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Ventura, CA · ZIP 93036 · Census Tract 06111005005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$484K
Downside (P10)
$416K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$548K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$710K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $422K | $461K | $530K | $379K | $477K | $484K | $496K | $535K | $548K | $494K |
| YoY Change | +9.3% | +15.0% | -28.6% | +26.0% | +1.5% | +2.4% | +8.0% | +2.4% | -9.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $442K | $423K | $416K | $442K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $601K | $634K | $710K | $567K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$442K to $601K
32.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$442K to $567K
25.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxnard · 93036 · (Tract 50.5) | $483K | $548K | +13.6% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004503) | $493K | $596K | +20.8% | |
| San Buenaventura (Ventura) | $496K | $551K | +11.1% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 003201) | $470K | $519K | +10.5% | |
| Camarillo | $466K | $504K | +8.2% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004507) | $462K | $494K | +6.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxnard · 93036 · (Tract 50.5) | $483K | $548K | +13.6% | |
| Triunfo Pass-Point Mugu | $1.98M | $2.40M | +21.6% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 003011) | $695K | $844K | +21.4% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004503) | $493K | $596K | +20.8% | |
| Thousand Oaks | $1.04M | $1.24M | +19.2% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004505) | $588K | $697K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxnard · 93036 · (Tract 50.5) | $483K | $548K | $294K | |
| Thousand Oaks | $425K | $465K | $250K | |
| Camarillo | $466K | $504K | $235K | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004710) | $343K | $396K | $209K | |
| Santa Paula | $245K | $253K | $157K | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004704) | $155K | $168K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.