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Tehama, CA · ZIP 96080 · Census Tract 06103000100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$520K
Downside (P10)
$520K
+0% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$731K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.09M
+110% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from +0% to +110%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $193K | $211K | $229K | $233K | $243K | $257K | $274K | $301K | $328K | $334K | $520K | $596K | $644K | $681K | $731K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$327,041 | -$309,141 | -$290,541 | -$287,341 | -$276,941 | -$263,141 | -$245,541 | -$218,941 | -$191,641 | -$185,941 | +$76,089 | +$123,786 | +$161,400 | +$211,360 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -62.9% | -59.5% | -55.9% | -55.3% | -53.3% | -50.6% | -47.2% | -42.1% | -36.9% | -35.8% | +14.6% | +23.8% | +31.0% | +40.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $499K | $500K | $484K | $520K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $726K | $830K | $980K | $1.1M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$499K to $726K
38.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$520K to $1.1M
78.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Tehama | $520K | $731K | +40.7% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000201) | $361K | $383K | +6.0% | |
| West Tehama | $380K | $401K | +5.6% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000202) | $382K | $401K | +5.0% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000400) | $475K | $497K | +4.7% | |
| Corning | $392K | $397K | +1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Tehama | $520K | $731K | +40.7% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000702) | $339K | $389K | +14.7% | |
| Corning | $307K | $347K | +12.8% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000701) | $316K | $357K | +12.7% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000500) | $312K | $338K | +8.4% | |
| East Tehama | $243K | $259K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Tehama | $520K | $731K | $572K | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000500) | $312K | $338K | $144K | |
| East Tehama | $243K | $259K | $119K | |
| Corning (Tract 001101) | $392K | $397K | $97K | |
| Corning (Tract 001000) | $358K | $362K | $85K | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000800) | $281K | $273K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Tehama, CA · ZIP 96080 · Census Tract 06103000100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$520K
Downside (P10)
$520K
+0% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$731K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.09M
+110% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from +0% to +110%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $193K | $211K | $229K | $233K | $243K | $257K | $274K | $301K | $328K | $334K | $520K | $596K | $644K | $681K | $731K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$327,041 | -$309,141 | -$290,541 | -$287,341 | -$276,941 | -$263,141 | -$245,541 | -$218,941 | -$191,641 | -$185,941 | +$76,089 | +$123,786 | +$161,400 | +$211,360 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -62.9% | -59.5% | -55.9% | -55.3% | -53.3% | -50.6% | -47.2% | -42.1% | -36.9% | -35.8% | +14.6% | +23.8% | +31.0% | +40.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $499K | $500K | $484K | $520K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $726K | $830K | $980K | $1.1M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$499K to $726K
38.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$520K to $1.1M
78.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Tehama | $520K | $731K | +40.7% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000201) | $361K | $383K | +6.0% | |
| West Tehama | $380K | $401K | +5.6% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000202) | $382K | $401K | +5.0% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000400) | $475K | $497K | +4.7% | |
| Corning | $392K | $397K | +1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Tehama | $520K | $731K | +40.7% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000702) | $339K | $389K | +14.7% | |
| Corning | $307K | $347K | +12.8% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000701) | $316K | $357K | +12.7% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000500) | $312K | $338K | +8.4% | |
| East Tehama | $243K | $259K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Tehama | $520K | $731K | $572K | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000500) | $312K | $338K | $144K | |
| East Tehama | $243K | $259K | $119K | |
| Corning (Tract 001101) | $392K | $397K | $97K | |
| Corning (Tract 001000) | $358K | $362K | $85K | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000800) | $281K | $273K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
