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Solano, CA · ZIP 94533 · Census Tract 06095252502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$467K
Downside (P10)
$411K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$509K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$729K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $188K | $206K | $232K | $264K | $291K | $318K | $336K | $397K | $445K | $448K | $467K | $472K | $500K | $509K | $468K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$279,606 | -$261,506 | -$235,206 | -$202,706 | -$175,706 | -$149,206 | -$130,806 | -$69,906 | -$21,806 | -$19,106 | +$4,941 | +$33,344 | +$41,987 | +$833 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -59.9% | -56.0% | -50.4% | -43.4% | -37.6% | -31.9% | -28.0% | -15.0% | -4.7% | -4.1% | +1.1% | +7.1% | +9.0% | +0.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $426K | $423K | $411K | $406K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $568K | $623K | $729K | $528K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$426K to $568K
30.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$406K to $528K
26.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield · 94533 · (Tract 2525.2) | $461K | $509K | +10.4% | |
| Fairfield (Tract 252606) | $481K | $553K | +15.0% | |
| Vallejo (Tract 250300) | $458K | $520K | +13.4% | |
| Fairfield (Tract 252607) | $479K | $536K | +12.0% | |
| Vallejo (Tract 251100) | $477K | $518K | +8.8% | |
| Vacaville | $459K | $494K | +7.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield · 94533 · (Tract 2525.2) | $461K | $509K | +10.4% | |
| Vacaville | $623K | $747K | +19.8% | |
| Vallejo (Tract 250605) | $691K | $825K | +19.5% | |
| Vallejo (Tract 250502) | $645K | $744K | +15.4% | |
| Vallejo (Tract 251902) | $518K | $596K | +15.0% | |
| Fairfield | $481K | $553K | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield · 94533 · (Tract 2525.2) | $461K | $509K | $318K | |
| Fairfield (Tract 252314) | $547K | $569K | $233K | |
| Fairfield (Tract 252605) | $519K | $547K | $231K | |
| Fairfield-Suisun City | $487K | $537K | $206K | |
| Vallejo (Tract 251802) | $340K | $365K | $182K | |
| Vallejo (Tract 250900) | $365K | $392K | $161K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Solano, CA · ZIP 94533 · Census Tract 06095252502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$467K
Downside (P10)
$411K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$509K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$729K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $188K | $206K | $232K | $264K | $291K | $318K | $336K | $397K | $445K | $448K | $467K | $472K | $500K | $509K | $468K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$279,606 | -$261,506 | -$235,206 | -$202,706 | -$175,706 | -$149,206 | -$130,806 | -$69,906 | -$21,806 | -$19,106 | +$4,941 | +$33,344 | +$41,987 | +$833 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -59.9% | -56.0% | -50.4% | -43.4% | -37.6% | -31.9% | -28.0% | -15.0% | -4.7% | -4.1% | +1.1% | +7.1% | +9.0% | +0.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $426K | $423K | $411K | $406K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $568K | $623K | $729K | $528K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$426K to $568K
30.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$406K to $528K
26.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield · 94533 · (Tract 2525.2) | $461K | $509K | +10.4% | |
| Fairfield (Tract 252606) | $481K | $553K | +15.0% | |
| Vallejo (Tract 250300) | $458K | $520K | +13.4% | |
| Fairfield (Tract 252607) | $479K | $536K | +12.0% | |
| Vallejo (Tract 251100) | $477K | $518K | +8.8% | |
| Vacaville | $459K | $494K | +7.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield · 94533 · (Tract 2525.2) | $461K | $509K | +10.4% | |
| Vacaville | $623K | $747K | +19.8% | |
| Vallejo (Tract 250605) | $691K | $825K | +19.5% | |
| Vallejo (Tract 250502) | $645K | $744K | +15.4% | |
| Vallejo (Tract 251902) | $518K | $596K | +15.0% | |
| Fairfield | $481K | $553K | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield · 94533 · (Tract 2525.2) | $461K | $509K | $318K | |
| Fairfield (Tract 252314) | $547K | $569K | $233K | |
| Fairfield (Tract 252605) | $519K | $547K | $231K | |
| Fairfield-Suisun City | $487K | $537K | $206K | |
| Vallejo (Tract 251802) | $340K | $365K | $182K | |
| Vallejo (Tract 250900) | $365K | $392K | $161K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
