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Shasta, CA · ZIP 96047 · Census Tract 06089012400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$414K
Downside (P10)
$361K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$452K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$588K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $249K | $266K | $272K | $289K | $336K | $378K | $376K | $395K | $400K | $405K | $414K | $429K | $451K | $452K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$165,855 | -$148,055 | -$141,955 | -$125,155 | -$78,755 | -$36,355 | -$38,155 | -$19,155 | -$14,855 | -$9,655 | +$15,095 | +$36,486 | +$37,596 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.0% | -35.7% | -34.3% | -30.2% | -19.0% | -8.8% | -9.2% | -4.6% | -3.6% | -2.3% | +3.6% | +8.8% | +9.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $374K | $381K | $361K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $508K | $543K | $588K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$374K to $508K
31.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$361K to $588K
50.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Shasta | $409K | $452K | +10.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 011401) | $396K | $460K | +16.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 011403) | $409K | $442K | +8.2% | |
| East Shasta | $408K | $433K | +6.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 012303) | $428K | $451K | +5.4% | |
| Redding (Tract 010805) | $416K | $428K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Shasta | $409K | $452K | +10.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 010200) | $330K | $395K | +19.8% | |
| Redding (Tract 011401) | $396K | $460K | +16.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 011209) | $347K | $403K | +16.0% | |
| Redding (Tract 010400) | $368K | $426K | +15.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 012200) | $275K | $317K | +15.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Shasta | $409K | $452K | $227K | |
| Central Shasta | $276K | $295K | $162K | |
| Redding (Tract 011300) | $290K | $323K | $154K | |
| Redding (Tract 010100) | $251K | $271K | $148K | |
| Redding (Tract 010803) | $387K | $417K | $146K | |
| Redding (Tract 010806) | $158K | $177K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Shasta, CA · ZIP 96047 · Census Tract 06089012400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$414K
Downside (P10)
$361K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$452K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$588K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $249K | $266K | $272K | $289K | $336K | $378K | $376K | $395K | $400K | $405K | $414K | $429K | $451K | $452K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$165,855 | -$148,055 | -$141,955 | -$125,155 | -$78,755 | -$36,355 | -$38,155 | -$19,155 | -$14,855 | -$9,655 | +$15,095 | +$36,486 | +$37,596 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.0% | -35.7% | -34.3% | -30.2% | -19.0% | -8.8% | -9.2% | -4.6% | -3.6% | -2.3% | +3.6% | +8.8% | +9.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $374K | $381K | $361K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $508K | $543K | $588K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$374K to $508K
31.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$361K to $588K
50.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Shasta | $409K | $452K | +10.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 011401) | $396K | $460K | +16.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 011403) | $409K | $442K | +8.2% | |
| East Shasta | $408K | $433K | +6.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 012303) | $428K | $451K | +5.4% | |
| Redding (Tract 010805) | $416K | $428K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Shasta | $409K | $452K | +10.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 010200) | $330K | $395K | +19.8% | |
| Redding (Tract 011401) | $396K | $460K | +16.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 011209) | $347K | $403K | +16.0% | |
| Redding (Tract 010400) | $368K | $426K | +15.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 012200) | $275K | $317K | +15.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Shasta | $409K | $452K | $227K | |
| Central Shasta | $276K | $295K | $162K | |
| Redding (Tract 011300) | $290K | $323K | $154K | |
| Redding (Tract 010100) | $251K | $271K | $148K | |
| Redding (Tract 010803) | $387K | $417K | $146K | |
| Redding (Tract 010806) | $158K | $177K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
