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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Shasta, CA · ZIP 96007 · Census Tract 06089012302 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$355K
Downside (P10)
$311K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$403K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$609K
+72% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +72%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $209K | $221K | $234K | $245K | $254K | $252K | $275K | $299K | $311K | $352K | $355K | $371K | $378K | $403K |
| YoY Change | +5.7% | +5.5% | +4.8% | +3.7% | -0.7% | +9.1% | +8.8% | +3.7% | +13.2% | +0.9% | +4.5% | +1.9% | +6.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $326K | $321K | $311K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $449K | $552K | $609K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$326K to $449K
32.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$311K to $609K
73.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding · Anderson · (Tract 123.2) | $358K | $403K | +12.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 011209) | $347K | $403K | +16.0% | |
| Redding (Tract 011100) | $367K | $397K | +8.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 010900) | $344K | $365K | +6.1% | |
| Redding (Tract 010300) | $357K | $377K | +5.6% | |
| Sacramento Canyon | $354K | $370K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding · Anderson · (Tract 123.2) | $358K | $403K | +12.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 010200) | $330K | $395K | +19.8% | |
| Redding (Tract 011401) | $396K | $460K | +16.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 011209) | $347K | $403K | +16.0% | |
| Redding (Tract 010400) | $368K | $426K | +15.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 012200) | $275K | $317K | +15.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding · Anderson · (Tract 123.2) | $358K | $403K | $298K | |
| Central Shasta | $276K | $295K | $162K | |
| Redding (Tract 011300) | $290K | $323K | $154K | |
| Redding (Tract 010100) | $251K | $271K | $148K | |
| Redding (Tract 010803) | $387K | $417K | $146K | |
| Redding (Tract 010806) | $158K | $177K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.