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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Shasta, CA · ZIP 96002 · Census Tract 06089011401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$408K
Downside (P10)
$350K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$460K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$555K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $219K | $223K | $241K | $238K | $245K | $266K | $275K | $320K | $352K | $385K | $408K | $424K | $435K | $460K |
| YoY Change | +1.8% | +7.8% | -0.9% | +2.6% | +8.9% | +3.2% | +16.3% | +10.2% | +9.2% | +6.1% | +3.8% | +2.7% | +5.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $361K | $354K | $350K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $486K | $529K | $555K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$361K to $486K
29.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$350K to $555K
44.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding · 96002 · (Tract 114.1) | $396K | $460K | +16.2% | |
| Southwest Shasta | $409K | $452K | +10.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 011403) | $409K | $442K | +8.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 010703) | $391K | $423K | +8.1% | |
| East Shasta | $408K | $433K | +6.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 010805) | $416K | $428K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding · 96002 · (Tract 114.1) | $396K | $460K | +16.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 010200) | $330K | $395K | +19.8% | |
| Redding (Tract 011209) | $347K | $403K | +16.0% | |
| Redding (Tract 010400) | $368K | $426K | +15.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 012200) | $275K | $317K | +15.5% | |
| Central Shasta | $482K | $544K | +12.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding · 96002 · (Tract 114.1) | $396K | $460K | $206K | |
| Central Shasta | $276K | $295K | $162K | |
| Redding (Tract 011300) | $290K | $323K | $154K | |
| Redding (Tract 010100) | $251K | $271K | $148K | |
| Redding (Tract 010803) | $387K | $417K | $146K | |
| Redding (Tract 010806) | $158K | $177K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.