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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Shasta, CA · ZIP 96001 · Census Tract 06089010602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$485K
Downside (P10)
$361K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$492K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$805K
+66% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +66%. The model forecasts this with 50% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $303K | $282K | $311K | $318K | $330K | $372K | $392K | $444K | $459K | $477K | $485K | $489K | $494K | $492K |
| YoY Change | -6.9% | +10.3% | +2.3% | +3.9% | +12.7% | +5.4% | +13.1% | +3.5% | +3.8% | +1.8% | +0.8% | +1.1% | -0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $385K | $372K | $361K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $699K | $746K | $805K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$385K to $699K
64.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$361K to $805K
90.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding · 96001 · (Tract 106.2) | $483K | $492K | +1.8% | |
| Central Shasta | $482K | $544K | +12.9% | |
| Redding (Tract 010601) | $468K | $524K | +11.9% | |
| Redding (Tract 010807) | $493K | $551K | +11.8% | |
| Redding (Tract 011802) | $491K | $537K | +9.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 011801) | $489K | $528K | +8.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding · 96001 · (Tract 106.2) | $483K | $492K | +1.8% | |
| Redding (Tract 010200) | $330K | $395K | +19.8% | |
| Redding (Tract 011401) | $396K | $460K | +16.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 011209) | $347K | $403K | +16.0% | |
| Redding (Tract 010400) | $368K | $426K | +15.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 012200) | $275K | $317K | +15.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding · 96001 · (Tract 106.2) | $483K | $492K | $444K | |
| Central Shasta | $276K | $295K | $162K | |
| Redding (Tract 011300) | $290K | $323K | $154K | |
| Redding (Tract 010100) | $251K | $271K | $148K | |
| Redding (Tract 010803) | $387K | $417K | $146K | |
| Redding (Tract 010806) | $158K | $177K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.