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Shasta, CA · ZIP 96088 · Census Tract 06089012603 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$283K
Downside (P10)
$232K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$295K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$394K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $201K | $198K | $206K | $224K | $236K | $238K | $250K | $286K | $278K | $274K | $283K | $279K | $284K | $295K | $284K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$82,216 | -$84,616 | -$76,716 | -$59,316 | -$46,816 | -$44,416 | -$32,616 | +$3,384 | -$4,516 | -$8,616 | -$3,686 | +$1,428 | +$12,648 | +$1,582 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -29.1% | -29.9% | -27.1% | -21.0% | -16.6% | -15.7% | -11.5% | +1.2% | -1.6% | -3.0% | -1.3% | +0.5% | +4.5% | +0.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $246K | $248K | $232K | $255K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $349K | $376K | $394K | $321K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$246K to $349K
36.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$255K to $321K
23.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Shasta · Shingletown · (Tract 126.3) | $276K | $295K | +6.9% | |
| Redding (Tract 012200) | $275K | $317K | +15.5% | |
| Redding (Tract 011703) | $287K | $322K | +12.1% | |
| Redding (Tract 012000) | $276K | $309K | +11.7% | |
| Redding (Tract 011300) | $290K | $323K | +11.1% | |
| Shasta Lake | $267K | $286K | +7.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Shasta · Shingletown · (Tract 126.3) | $276K | $295K | +6.9% | |
| Redding (Tract 010200) | $330K | $395K | +19.8% | |
| Redding (Tract 011401) | $396K | $460K | +16.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 011209) | $347K | $403K | +16.0% | |
| Redding (Tract 010400) | $368K | $426K | +15.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 012200) | $275K | $317K | +15.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Shasta · Shingletown · (Tract 126.3) | $276K | $295K | $162K | |
| Redding (Tract 010200) | $330K | $395K | $166K | |
| Redding (Tract 011300) | $290K | $323K | $154K | |
| Redding (Tract 010100) | $251K | $271K | $148K | |
| Redding (Tract 010803) | $387K | $417K | $146K | |
| Redding (Tract 010806) | $158K | $177K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Shasta, CA · ZIP 96088 · Census Tract 06089012603 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$283K
Downside (P10)
$232K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$295K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$394K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $201K | $198K | $206K | $224K | $236K | $238K | $250K | $286K | $278K | $274K | $283K | $279K | $284K | $295K | $284K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$82,216 | -$84,616 | -$76,716 | -$59,316 | -$46,816 | -$44,416 | -$32,616 | +$3,384 | -$4,516 | -$8,616 | -$3,686 | +$1,428 | +$12,648 | +$1,582 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -29.1% | -29.9% | -27.1% | -21.0% | -16.6% | -15.7% | -11.5% | +1.2% | -1.6% | -3.0% | -1.3% | +0.5% | +4.5% | +0.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $246K | $248K | $232K | $255K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $349K | $376K | $394K | $321K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$246K to $349K
36.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$255K to $321K
23.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Shasta · Shingletown · (Tract 126.3) | $276K | $295K | +6.9% | |
| Redding (Tract 012200) | $275K | $317K | +15.5% | |
| Redding (Tract 011703) | $287K | $322K | +12.1% | |
| Redding (Tract 012000) | $276K | $309K | +11.7% | |
| Redding (Tract 011300) | $290K | $323K | +11.1% | |
| Shasta Lake | $267K | $286K | +7.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Shasta · Shingletown · (Tract 126.3) | $276K | $295K | +6.9% | |
| Redding (Tract 010200) | $330K | $395K | +19.8% | |
| Redding (Tract 011401) | $396K | $460K | +16.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 011209) | $347K | $403K | +16.0% | |
| Redding (Tract 010400) | $368K | $426K | +15.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 012200) | $275K | $317K | +15.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Shasta · Shingletown · (Tract 126.3) | $276K | $295K | $162K | |
| Redding (Tract 010200) | $330K | $395K | $166K | |
| Redding (Tract 011300) | $290K | $323K | $154K | |
| Redding (Tract 010100) | $251K | $271K | $148K | |
| Redding (Tract 010803) | $387K | $417K | $146K | |
| Redding (Tract 010806) | $158K | $177K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
