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San Mateo, CA · ZIP 94030 · Census Tract 06081604500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$2.03M
Downside (P10)
$1.73M
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.14M
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.47M
+71% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +71%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $951K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.9M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.1M | $2.1M |
| YoY Change | +5.5% | +8.5% | +7.9% | +10.3% | +17.2% | +3.3% | +10.2% | +8.3% | +6.3% | +2.1% | +0.7% | +1.9% | +2.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.7M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $2.7M | $3.0M | $3.5M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$1.57M to $2.70M
55.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.73M to $3.47M
81.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millbrae · 94030 · (Tract 6045) | $2.04M | $2.14M | +4.9% | |
| Menlo Park | $2.03M | $2.33M | +14.4% | |
| San Mateo (Tract 607300) | $2.03M | $2.23M | +9.7% | |
| San Mateo (Tract 606800) | $2.03M | $2.20M | +8.4% | |
| San Mateo (Tract 613400) | $2.03M | $2.15M | +5.7% | |
| San Mateo (Tract 613000) | $2.03M | $2.06M | +1.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millbrae · 94030 · (Tract 6045) | $2.04M | $2.14M | +4.9% | |
| Redwood City (Tract 610303) | $2.02M | $2.51M | +23.9% | |
| Redwood City (Tract 610902) | $1.45M | $1.74M | +20.5% | |
| Half Moon Bay | $1.48M | $1.77M | +19.7% | |
| Millbrae | $1.21M | $1.43M | +18.6% | |
| South San Francisco | $324K | $384K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millbrae · 94030 · (Tract 6045) | $2.04M | $2.14M | $1.74M | |
| Daly City | $672K | $700K | $369K | |
| San Bruno (Tract 604102) | $664K | $707K | $363K | |
| San Bruno (Tract 603801) | $632K | $668K | $265K | |
| South San Francisco | $324K | $384K | $225K | |
| Redwood City | $276K | $321K | $181K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.