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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Mateo, CA · ZIP 94002 · Census Tract 06081608700 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.99M
Downside (P10)
$1.79M
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.23M
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.35M
+68% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +68%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $968K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.3M | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.9M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.1M | $2.1M | $2.2M |
| YoY Change | +7.6% | +10.1% | +14.3% | +13.8% | +3.4% | +2.1% | +20.4% | +5.6% | +0.0% | -0.3% | +3.3% | +3.5% | +4.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.8M | $1.8M | $1.8M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $2.7M | $2.8M | $3.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.75M to $2.69M
45.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.79M to $3.35M
70.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont · 94002 · (Tract 6087) | $1.97M | $2.23M | +12.9% | |
| Belmont | $2.00M | $2.25M | +12.8% | |
| San Mateo (Tract 613900) | $1.99M | $2.15M | +7.8% | |
| San Mateo (Tract 606700) | $1.99M | $2.11M | +5.9% | |
| San Carlos | $2.00M | $2.08M | +4.3% | |
| San Mateo (Tract 607000) | $2.00M | $1.97M | -1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont · 94002 · (Tract 6087) | $1.97M | $2.23M | +12.9% | |
| Redwood City (Tract 610303) | $2.02M | $2.51M | +23.9% | |
| Redwood City (Tract 610902) | $1.45M | $1.74M | +20.5% | |
| Half Moon Bay | $1.48M | $1.77M | +19.7% | |
| Millbrae | $1.21M | $1.43M | +18.6% | |
| South San Francisco | $324K | $384K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont · 94002 · (Tract 6087) | $1.97M | $2.23M | $1.56M | |
| Daly City | $672K | $700K | $369K | |
| San Bruno (Tract 604102) | $664K | $707K | $363K | |
| San Bruno (Tract 603801) | $632K | $668K | $265K | |
| South San Francisco | $324K | $384K | $225K | |
| Redwood City | $276K | $321K | $181K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.