San Mateo, CA · ZIP 94002 · Census Tract 06081608600 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.83M
Downside (P10)
$1.45M
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.98M
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.71M
+48% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +48%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar San Mateo markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $741K | $793K | $884K | $972K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.8M | $1.9M | $1.9M | $2.0M |
| YoY Change | +7.0% | +11.6% | +9.9% | +17.7% | +6.1% | +10.1% | +11.5% | +9.0% | +7.6% | +4.5% | +4.0% | +0.3% | +3.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.5M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $2.3M | $2.5M | $2.7M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The range stays consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$1.44M to $2.29M
45.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.45M to $2.71M
63.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont · 94002 · (Tract 6086) | $1.78M | $1.98M | +11.3% | |
| Foster City | $1.81M | $2.05M | +13.3% | |
| North Fair Oaks | $1.84M | $2.00M | +8.5% | |
| San Mateo | $1.80M | $1.88M | +4.3% | |
| Foster City | $1.78M | $1.95M | +9.8% | |
| Redwood City | $1.90M | $2.01M | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont · 94002 · (Tract 6086) | $1.78M | $1.98M | +11.3% | |
| Redwood City | $2.02M | $2.51M | +23.9% | |
| Redwood City | $1.45M | $1.74M | +20.5% | |
| Half Moon Bay | $1.48M | $1.77M | +19.7% | |
| Millbrae | $1.21M | $1.43M | +18.6% | |
| South San Francisco | $324K | $384K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont · 94002 · (Tract 6086) | $1.78M | $1.98M | $1.26M | |
| Redwood City | $276K | $321K | $181K | |
| South San Francisco | $324K | $384K | $225K | |
| San Bruno | $632K | $668K | $265K | |
| San Bruno | $664K | $707K | $363K | |
| Daly City | $672K | $700K | $369K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.