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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Jose, CA · ZIP 95050 · Census Tract 06085505202 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.20M
Downside (P10)
$1.06M
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.34M
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.70M
+42% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $567K | $633K | $779K | $799K | $884K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
| YoY Change | +11.6% | +23.2% | +2.6% | +10.6% | +13.6% | +3.7% | +10.2% | +0.6% | -1.2% | +5.1% | +4.4% | +4.2% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$1.07M to $1.47M
31.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.06M to $1.70M
47.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | $1.14M | $1.34M | +18.0% | |
| San Jose (Tract 504411) | $1.20M | $1.34M | +12.2% | |
| San Jose (Tract 504323) | $1.20M | $1.34M | +11.3% | |
| San Jose (Tract 505006) | $1.21M | $1.31M | +8.3% | |
| San Jose (Tract 503322) | $1.19M | $1.28M | +8.1% | |
| Milpitas | $1.19M | $1.27M | +6.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | $1.14M | $1.34M | +18.0% | |
| San Jose (Tract 501601) | $1.05M | $1.30M | +24.0% | |
| Gilroy | $903K | $1.11M | +22.5% | |
| South Santa Clara Valley | $880K | $1.07M | +21.5% | |
| San Jose (Tract 503506) | $906K | $1.10M | +21.0% | |
| San Jose (Tract 503110) | $722K | $872K | +20.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | $1.14M | $1.34M | $639K | |
| San Jose (Tract 505014) | $312K | $337K | $131K | |
| San Jose (Tract 503122) | $236K | $249K | $128K | |
| San Jose (Tract 503222) | $219K | $220K | $127K | |
| San Jose (Tract 503123) | $176K | $184K | $115K | |
| San Jose (Tract 504601) | $189K | $198K | $96K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.