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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Jose, CA · ZIP 95148 · Census Tract 06085503321 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.41M
Downside (P10)
$1.24M
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.44M
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.96M
+39% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $627K | $675K | $712K | $799K | $870K | $931K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | +7.8% | +5.5% | +12.2% | +8.8% | +7.0% | +16.7% | +11.2% | +8.3% | +3.2% | +4.4% | +2.3% | +2.1% | -1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.2M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.7M | $1.8M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.26M to $1.72M
32.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.24M to $1.96M
50.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose · 95148 · (Tract 5033.21) | $1.38M | $1.44M | +4.4% | |
| San Jose (Tract 512031) | $1.40M | $1.58M | +13.2% | |
| San Jose (Tract 501800) | $1.41M | $1.54M | +9.4% | |
| San Jose (Tract 504320) | $1.41M | $1.55M | +9.3% | |
| Santa Clara | $1.43M | $1.53M | +7.5% | |
| San Jose (Tract 512005) | $1.38M | $1.42M | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose · 95148 · (Tract 5033.21) | $1.38M | $1.44M | +4.4% | |
| San Jose (Tract 501601) | $1.05M | $1.30M | +24.0% | |
| Gilroy | $903K | $1.11M | +22.5% | |
| South Santa Clara Valley | $880K | $1.07M | +21.5% | |
| San Jose (Tract 503506) | $906K | $1.10M | +21.0% | |
| San Jose (Tract 503110) | $722K | $872K | +20.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose · 95148 · (Tract 5033.21) | $1.38M | $1.44M | $722K | |
| San Jose (Tract 505014) | $312K | $337K | $131K | |
| San Jose (Tract 503122) | $236K | $249K | $128K | |
| San Jose (Tract 503222) | $219K | $220K | $127K | |
| San Jose (Tract 503123) | $176K | $184K | $115K | |
| San Jose (Tract 504601) | $189K | $198K | $96K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.