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San Diego, CA · ZIP 92026 · Census Tract 06073020111 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$893K
Downside (P10)
$757K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$931K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.48M
+66% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +66%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $619K | $591K | $797K | $824K | $857K | $893K | $902K | $928K | $931K |
| YoY Change | -4.5% | +34.9% | +3.4% | +3.9% | +4.2% | +1.0% | +2.9% | +0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $764K | $758K | $757K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.3M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$764K to $1.13M
40.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$757K to $1.48M
77.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oceanside-Escondido | $881K | $931K | +5.7% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009704) | $890K | $1.02M | +14.0% | |
| Carlsbad | $893K | $989K | +10.7% | |
| Poway | $893K | $973K | +9.0% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009201) | $892K | $942K | +5.7% | |
| San Diego (Tract 008509) | $890K | $930K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oceanside-Escondido | $881K | $931K | +5.7% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009305) | $878K | $1.07M | +21.6% | |
| Encinitas | $2.04M | $2.46M | +20.8% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004102) | $990K | $1.19M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 017070) | $1.62M | $1.95M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009802) | $879K | $1.05M | +20.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oceanside-Escondido | $881K | $931K | $720K | |
| Escondido | $201K | $215K | $124K | |
| San Diego | $82K | $84K | $57K | |
| Chula Vista | $95K | $97K | $55K | |
| El Cajon | $100K | $105K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.