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San Diego, CA · ZIP 91913 · Census Tract 06073013323 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$809K
Downside (P10)
$639K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$869K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+48% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $476K | $522K | $594K | $757K | $799K | $809K | $832K | $833K | $869K |
| YoY Change | +9.7% | +13.8% | +27.4% | +5.6% | +1.3% | +2.8% | +0.2% | +4.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $638K | $646K | $639K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$638K to $1.01M
44.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$639K to $1.20M
64.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chula Vista | $807K | $869K | +7.7% | |
| Oceanside-Escondido (Tract 020403) | $807K | $906K | +12.2% | |
| San Diego (Tract 005401) | $809K | $886K | +9.5% | |
| San Diego (Tract 013401) | $811K | $873K | +7.7% | |
| Oceanside-Escondido (Tract 019902) | $811K | $872K | +7.5% | |
| San Diego (Tract 016901) | $811K | $820K | +1.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chula Vista | $807K | $869K | +7.7% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009305) | $878K | $1.07M | +21.6% | |
| Encinitas | $2.04M | $2.46M | +20.8% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004102) | $990K | $1.19M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 017070) | $1.62M | $1.95M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009802) | $879K | $1.05M | +20.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chula Vista | $807K | $869K | $561K | |
| Escondido | $201K | $215K | $124K | |
| San Diego | $82K | $84K | $57K | |
| Chula Vista | $95K | $97K | $55K | |
| El Cajon | $100K | $105K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.