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San Diego, CA · ZIP 91941 · Census Tract 06073015302 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$820K
Downside (P10)
$695K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$901K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.23M
+50% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $466K | $435K | $497K | $528K | $571K | $592K | $623K | $720K | $754K | $805K | $820K | $846K | $861K | $901K |
| YoY Change | -6.8% | +14.2% | +6.3% | +8.2% | +3.7% | +5.1% | +15.6% | +4.7% | +6.7% | +1.8% | +3.2% | +1.8% | +4.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $718K | $710K | $695K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $998K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$718K to $998K
33.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$695K to $1.23M
59.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego · La Mesa · (Tract 153.2) | $825K | $901K | +9.2% | |
| San Diego (Tract 008361) | $819K | $919K | +12.2% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009502) | $819K | $902K | +10.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 008358) | $821K | $854K | +4.0% | |
| Vista | $819K | $851K | +3.9% | |
| San Diego (Tract 016606) | $819K | $807K | -1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego · La Mesa · (Tract 153.2) | $825K | $901K | +9.2% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009305) | $878K | $1.07M | +21.6% | |
| Encinitas | $2.04M | $2.46M | +20.8% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004102) | $990K | $1.19M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 017070) | $1.62M | $1.95M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009802) | $879K | $1.05M | +20.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego · La Mesa · (Tract 153.2) | $825K | $901K | $537K | |
| Escondido | $201K | $215K | $124K | |
| San Diego | $82K | $84K | $57K | |
| Chula Vista | $95K | $97K | $55K | |
| El Cajon | $100K | $105K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.