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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Diego, CA · ZIP 92028 · Census Tract 06073018903 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$683K
Downside (P10)
$598K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$762K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$994K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $344K | $374K | $416K | $449K | $465K | $457K | $472K | $560K | $627K | $668K | $683K | $702K | $727K | $762K |
| YoY Change | +8.6% | +11.3% | +8.1% | +3.4% | -1.7% | +3.3% | +18.7% | +12.1% | +6.5% | +2.4% | +2.7% | +3.5% | +4.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $606K | $599K | $598K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $794K | $874K | $994K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$606K to $794K
26.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$598K to $994K
51.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fallbrook · 92028 · (Tract 189.3) | $682K | $762K | +11.6% | |
| San Diego (Tract 008511) | $681K | $798K | +17.1% | |
| Vista | $682K | $755K | +10.7% | |
| Oceanside-Escondido (Tract 020106) | $682K | $736K | +8.0% | |
| San Diego (Tract 005102) | $683K | $731K | +7.0% | |
| Oceanside-Escondido (Tract 020313) | $681K | $717K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fallbrook · 92028 · (Tract 189.3) | $682K | $762K | +11.6% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009305) | $878K | $1.07M | +21.6% | |
| Encinitas | $2.04M | $2.46M | +20.8% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004102) | $990K | $1.19M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 017070) | $1.62M | $1.95M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009802) | $879K | $1.05M | +20.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fallbrook · 92028 · (Tract 189.3) | $682K | $762K | $395K | |
| Escondido | $201K | $215K | $124K | |
| San Diego | $82K | $84K | $57K | |
| Chula Vista | $95K | $97K | $55K | |
| El Cajon | $100K | $105K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.