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San Diego, CA · ZIP 92004 · Census Tract 06073021002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$484K
Downside (P10)
$420K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$505K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$673K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $513K | $422K | $456K | $484K | $499K | $536K | $505K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$29,073 | -$61,527 | -$28,227 | +$14,704 | +$52,434 | +$21,424 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +6.0% | -12.7% | -5.8% | +3.0% | +10.8% | +4.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $437K | $445K | $420K | |||||
| Upside (P90) | $551K | $621K | $673K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$437K to $551K
22.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$420K to $673K
49.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego (Tract 001600) | $480K | $542K | +13.0% | |
| San Diego (Tract 006801) | $500K | $556K | +11.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 003501) | $492K | $546K | +11.0% | |
| San Diego (Tract 001700) | $499K | $554K | +10.8% | |
| San Diego (Tract 005201) | $483K | $515K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego (Tract 004102) | $990K | $1.19M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 007601) | $1.15M | $1.36M | +18.2% | |
| San Diego (Tract 007912) | $1.28M | $1.51M | +18.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 002402) | $674K | $787K | +16.9% | |
| San Diego (Tract 007401) | $718K | $837K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego (Tract 001201) | $504K | $537K | $295K | |
| San Diego (Tract 002602) | $579K | $628K | $291K | |
| San Diego (Tract 006801) | $500K | $556K | $276K | |
| San Diego (Tract 002707) | $503K | $520K | $258K | |
| San Diego (Tract 002202) | $373K | $389K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
San Diego, CA · ZIP 92004 · Census Tract 06073021002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$484K
Downside (P10)
$420K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$505K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$673K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $513K | $422K | $456K | $484K | $499K | $536K | $505K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$29,073 | -$61,527 | -$28,227 | +$14,704 | +$52,434 | +$21,424 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +6.0% | -12.7% | -5.8% | +3.0% | +10.8% | +4.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $437K | $445K | $420K | |||||
| Upside (P90) | $551K | $621K | $673K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$437K to $551K
22.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$420K to $673K
49.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego (Tract 001600) | $480K | $542K | +13.0% | |
| San Diego (Tract 006801) | $500K | $556K | +11.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 003501) | $492K | $546K | +11.0% | |
| San Diego (Tract 001700) | $499K | $554K | +10.8% | |
| San Diego (Tract 005201) | $483K | $515K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego (Tract 004102) | $990K | $1.19M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 007601) | $1.15M | $1.36M | +18.2% | |
| San Diego (Tract 007912) | $1.28M | $1.51M | +18.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 002402) | $674K | $787K | +16.9% | |
| San Diego (Tract 007401) | $718K | $837K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego (Tract 001201) | $504K | $537K | $295K | |
| San Diego (Tract 002602) | $579K | $628K | $291K | |
| San Diego (Tract 006801) | $500K | $556K | $276K | |
| San Diego (Tract 002707) | $503K | $520K | $258K | |
| San Diego (Tract 002202) | $373K | $389K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
