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San Bernardino, CA · ZIP 92277 · Census Tract 06071010433 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$262K
Downside (P10)
$226K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$283K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$399K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $117K | $159K | $217K | $222K | $254K | $262K | $273K | $281K | $283K | $266K |
| YoY Change | +35.9% | +36.5% | +2.3% | +14.3% | +3.4% | +4.2% | +3.0% | +0.7% | -6.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $231K | $232K | $226K | $234K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $325K | $361K | $399K | $306K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$231K to $325K
34.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$234K to $306K
26.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twentynine Palms · 92277 · (Tract 104.33) | $261K | $283K | +8.5% | |
| Victorville (Tract 009912) | $260K | $299K | +15.0% | |
| Victorville (Tract 009800) | $269K | $300K | +11.4% | |
| Colton | $267K | $295K | +10.5% | |
| Twentynine Palms-Yucca Valley (Tract 010415) | $262K | $274K | +4.7% | |
| Twentynine Palms-Yucca Valley (Tract 010436) | $263K | $256K | -2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twentynine Palms · 92277 · (Tract 104.33) | $261K | $283K | +8.5% | |
| Newberry Springs-Baker | $182K | $230K | +26.5% | |
| Victorville-Hesperia | $394K | $476K | +20.8% | |
| San Bernardino | $499K | $600K | +20.2% | |
| Victorville | $416K | $497K | +19.4% | |
| Rancho Cucamonga | $641K | $765K | +19.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twentynine Palms · 92277 · (Tract 104.33) | $261K | $283K | $172K | |
| Ontario | $89K | $93K | $46K | |
| Searles Valley | $70K | $74K | $41K | |
| Yucaipa | $68K | $66K | $34K | |
| San Bernardino | $54K | $59K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.