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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Bernardino, CA · ZIP 92277 · Census Tract 06071010425 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$207K
Downside (P10)
$184K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$221K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$294K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $76K | $123K | $148K | $159K | $199K | $207K | $206K | $217K | $221K |
| YoY Change | +62.8% | +20.0% | +7.4% | +24.9% | +4.1% | -0.4% | +5.1% | +2.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $181K | $187K | $184K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $258K | $282K | $294K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$181K to $258K
37.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$184K to $294K
49.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twentynine Palms-Yucca Valley | $203K | $221K | +9.3% | |
| Victorville-Hesperia | $210K | $234K | +11.5% | |
| Barstow (Tract 011602) | $201K | $223K | +11.2% | |
| Ontario | $215K | $239K | +10.9% | |
| Barstow (Tract 012002) | $214K | $237K | +10.7% | |
| Yucca Valley | $200K | $217K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twentynine Palms-Yucca Valley | $203K | $221K | +9.3% | |
| Newberry Springs-Baker | $182K | $230K | +26.5% | |
| Victorville-Hesperia | $394K | $476K | +20.8% | |
| San Bernardino | $499K | $600K | +20.2% | |
| Victorville | $416K | $497K | +19.4% | |
| Rancho Cucamonga | $641K | $765K | +19.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twentynine Palms-Yucca Valley | $203K | $221K | $110K | |
| Ontario | $89K | $93K | $46K | |
| Searles Valley | $70K | $74K | $41K | |
| Yucaipa | $68K | $66K | $34K | |
| San Bernardino | $54K | $59K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.