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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Bernardino, CA · ZIP 92411 · Census Tract 06071004800 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$365K
Downside (P10)
$300K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$384K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$494K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $121K | $129K | $152K | $163K | $183K | $214K | $238K | $299K | $340K | $366K | $365K | $369K | $390K | $384K |
| YoY Change | +6.5% | +18.6% | +7.0% | +12.0% | +17.3% | +11.3% | +25.5% | +13.7% | +7.5% | -0.2% | +1.1% | +5.7% | -1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $318K | $318K | $300K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $451K | $480K | $494K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$318K to $451K
36.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$300K to $494K
50.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bernardino | $369K | $384K | +4.0% | |
| Hesperia | $361K | $412K | +14.1% | |
| San Bernardino (Tract 004201) | $364K | $408K | +12.3% | |
| San Bernardino (Tract 006502) | $362K | $399K | +10.3% | |
| Twentynine Palms-Yucca Valley | $364K | $370K | +1.9% | |
| San Bernardino (Tract 006203) | $365K | $368K | +0.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bernardino | $369K | $384K | +4.0% | |
| Newberry Springs-Baker | $182K | $230K | +26.5% | |
| Victorville-Hesperia | $394K | $476K | +20.8% | |
| San Bernardino | $499K | $600K | +20.2% | |
| Victorville | $416K | $497K | +19.4% | |
| Rancho Cucamonga | $641K | $765K | +19.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bernardino | $369K | $384K | $194K | |
| Ontario | $89K | $93K | $46K | |
| Searles Valley | $70K | $74K | $41K | |
| Yucaipa | $68K | $66K | $34K | |
| San Bernardino | $54K | $59K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.