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San Bernardino, CA · ZIP 92371 · Census Tract 06071009123 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$345K
Downside (P10)
$252K
-27% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$366K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$526K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -27% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $227K | $244K | $288K | $317K | $336K | $345K | $354K | $355K | $366K |
| YoY Change | +7.4% | +18.0% | +10.3% | +5.9% | +2.6% | +2.5% | +0.3% | +3.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $288K | $265K | $252K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $416K | $476K | $526K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$288K to $416K
36.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$252K to $526K
74.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phelan · 92371 · (Tract 91.23) | $339K | $366K | +8.0% | |
| San Bernardino | $349K | $411K | +17.8% | |
| Adelanto | $345K | $384K | +11.4% | |
| Twentynine Palms-Yucca Valley | $349K | $383K | +9.7% | |
| Victorville | $345K | $368K | +6.7% | |
| Barstow | $344K | $363K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phelan · 92371 · (Tract 91.23) | $339K | $366K | +8.0% | |
| Newberry Springs-Baker | $182K | $230K | +26.5% | |
| Victorville-Hesperia | $394K | $476K | +20.8% | |
| San Bernardino | $499K | $600K | +20.2% | |
| Victorville | $416K | $497K | +19.4% | |
| Rancho Cucamonga | $641K | $765K | +19.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phelan · 92371 · (Tract 91.23) | $339K | $366K | $274K | |
| Ontario | $89K | $93K | $46K | |
| Searles Valley | $70K | $74K | $41K | |
| Yucaipa | $68K | $66K | $34K | |
| San Bernardino | $54K | $59K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.